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Red Wings at Senators
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸5
Ottawa Senators
3
FinalTV FDSNDET, Prime·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Ottawa Senators 5-3. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Rasmussen's goal at 12:53 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 79% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were DET 21, OTT 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. John Gibson stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Hunter Shepard stopped 10 of 12 (.833), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (34 saves, .919), 2. James van Riemsdyk (1 G, 2 A), 3. Tim Stützle (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Gibson34 saves, .919
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. van Riemsdyk1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET391913521
OTTOTT017210110337

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    A. Copp(6)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:06
  2. DET
    D. Larkin(22)PPG
    J. van Riemsdyk (3), A. DeBrincat (21)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:51
  3. DET
    J. van Riemsdyk(11)
    J. Bernard-Docker (2), A. Johansson (6)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    19:43

2nd period

  1. OTT
    C. Giroux(9)
    F. Zetterlund (9), J. Spence (12)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    7:33
  2. OTT
    D. Cozens(12)PPG
    J. Sanderson (22), T. Stützle (25)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:10
  3. DET
    L. Raymond(12)
    J. Compher (10), J. van Riemsdyk (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:42

3rd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(7)
    T. Stützle (26), D. Batherson (23)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-3
    6:55
  2. DET
    M. Rasmussen(6)SHG
    S. Edvinsson (11)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +18 ptsVideo
    5-3
    12:53

Penalties

DET 12 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:38DETMarco Kasper · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 13:10OTTDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 17:10DETBen Chiarot · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 4:18OTTTyler Kleven · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 13:57DETMichael Rasmussen · Trippingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 17:14OTTBrady Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

3rd

  • 2:34OTTClaude Giroux · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 9:03DETAlbert Johansson · Trippingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 11:09DETJacob Bernard-Docker · Slashingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 13:16OTTserved by B. Tkachuk · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 14:46DETSimon Edvinsson · Elbowingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalDET goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Michael Rasmussen, 3rd 12:53 — DET 79% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.27D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.20T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.18D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.18C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.17D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.16S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.16F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.16C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.16C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.13S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.11S. Halliday · Missed · xG 0.11S. Halliday · On goal · xG 0.10D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.09D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.07D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.03M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.01R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01
OTT3 G · 3.8 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsOTT
2.55 G
All situations
3 G3.8
1.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.71 G
Power play
1 G1.8
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET24%76%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 3.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsOTT
21
Shots on goal
37
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/5
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
12
13
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000+110.02020—24:44
77S. EdvinssonD011+110.01122—23:20
8B. ChiarotD000010.01112—20:17
18A. CoppC101+120.211004419:59
71D. LarkinC101-110.630004118:13
93A. DeBrincatR011+120.470003316:09
22M. AppletonC000010.06420015:48
25J. Bernard-DockerD011+200.00212—15:45
37J. CompherL011+200.000005015:07
20A. JohanssonD011+100.00012—14:59
88P. KaneR000+140.28000—14:31
23L. RaymondL101+230.19000—14:18
27M. RasmussenC101+110.171023614:05
58E. FinnieC000-200.03000013:36
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000-100.00010—13:32
21J. van RiemsdykL123+220.18000—12:44
92M. KasperC000-210.05302011:37
43J. LeonardL000010.24010—11:03
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)37343.9193.79+0.7960:00

Season series

DET leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).