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Stars at Avalanche
NHL

Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
0
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV TBS, truTV·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Dallas Stars 4-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan O'Connor's goal at 12:39 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 50% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were DAL 23, COL 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mackenzie Blackwood (23 saves, 1.000), 3. Logan O'Connor (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Blackwood23 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    COL
    L. O'Connor1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0110507023
COLCOL212122114448

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    L. O'Connor(2)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:39
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(4)PPG
    D. Toews (1), J. Drouin (3)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:36

2nd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(1)
    B. Nelson (1)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    13:10

3rd period

  1. COL
    S. Girard(1)
    B. Nelson (2), G. Landeskog (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    10:46

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:31COLLogan O'Connor · High stickingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 7:15COLJack Drury · Roughingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 7:15DALRoope Hintz · Slashingdrawn by Mackenzie Blackwood2 min
  • 11:53COLDevon Toews · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:41DALMason Marchment · Elbowingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

3rd

  • 1:35COLRyan Lindgren · Holdingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 18:21COLRyan Lindgren · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 19:21DALWyatt Johnston · Roughingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalDAL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Logan O'Connor, 1st 12:39 — COL 50% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.28A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.22A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.20J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.20B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.19M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.19N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.18M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.15C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.13J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.11C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.09L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.09S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.09B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.09C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.06J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.05J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.05S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.00R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 4.5 xG · 68 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCOL
2.10 G
All situations
4 G4.5
1.00 G
Even strength
2 G3.9
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL16%84%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 4.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCOL
23
Shots on goal
48
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/4
Power play
1/1
6
Penalty minutes
10
38
Hits
39
22
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD000-220.10250—23:58
44C. CeciD000000.00200—20:47
96M. RantanenR000-110.20000—19:12
23E. LindellD000010.12200—19:11
53W. JohnstonC000-320.480023018:19
64M. GranlundC000010.2913010017:45
28A. PetrovicD000-110.03030—17:45
95M. DucheneC000-110.060005017:27
46I. LyubushkinD000-120.01000—17:05
24R. HintzC000-110.261326716:33
14J. BennL000-220.217105016:32
6L. BichselD000-110.00600—15:09
27M. MarchmentL000020.10822—14:41
15C. BlackwellC000020.014102013:47
22M. BourqueC000020.14210013:11
18S. SteelC000010.031206712:25
63E. DadonovL000-210.01110—12:05
91T. SeguinC000000.021008311:56
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)34313.9123.30+0.3039:48
1C. DeSmith14131.9291.18+0.1819:50

Series

DAL leads 4-3

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).