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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Vegas Golden Knights
2
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SN1·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2. The Golden Knights scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 16:03 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 73%. Expected goals were close — EDM 1.7, VGK 1.6; shots on goal were EDM 20, VGK 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Adin Hill stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pavel Dorofeyev (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jake Walman (1 G), 3. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    P. Dorofeyev1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    J. Walman1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    V. Arvidsson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0431105320
VGKVGK1100418222

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    N. Roy(12)
    P. Dorofeyev (17)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:34

2nd period

  1. EDM
    J. Walman(7)
    V. Podkolzin (16), E. Bouchard (46)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:19
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(52)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (29), E. Bouchard (47)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:03
  3. EDM
    V. Arvidsson(12)
    K. Kapanen (7), A. Henrique (11)
    pokexG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:20

3rd period

  1. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(32)
    K. Korczak (10)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:35

Penalties

EDM 2 PIM·VGK 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:40EDMZach Hyman · Trippingdrawn by Adin Hill2 min
  • 9:08VGKShea Theodore · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

2nd

  • 15:29VGKVictor Olofsson · Interferencedrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min
  • 15:46VGKBrayden McNabb · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 18:20VGKserved by V. Olofsson · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 2nd 16:03 — EDM 52% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.16I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.10R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.06S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.00W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 1.6 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
1.73 G
All situations
2 G1.6
1.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM51%49%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 1.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
20
Shots on goal
22
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
13
14
Blocked shots
6
13
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+110.02230—23:51
2E. BouchardD022010.06110—23:46
29L. DraisaitlC101020.170206323:05
96J. WalmanD101+240.16010—20:38
18Z. HymanL000-130.26302—20:24
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011030.131004019:29
27B. KulakD000-100.00010—18:31
33V. ArvidssonL101+140.41000—17:58
92V. PodkolzinR011+110.24400—17:14
51T. StecherD000-100.01210—15:31
53J. SkinnerL000-100.00000—15:30
19A. HenriqueC011000.002106314:56
42K. KapanenR011+110.123005014:06
49T. EmbersonD000-100.00220—13:15
13M. JanmarkC000000.005103312:24
28C. BrownR000000.00000—12:11
90C. PerryR000-100.10110—09:50
46M. JonesL000000.00400—06:11
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(W)22202.9091.64-0.3659:10

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).