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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

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Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Edmonton Oilers 1-0. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 10:47 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.4 to 1.2; shots on goal were EDM 28, VGK 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 15 of 16 (.938); Adin Hill stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Adin Hill (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Ivan Barbashev (1 G), 3. Brayden McNabb.

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    A. Hill28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    VGK
    I. Barbashev1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    B. McNabb

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0309016028
VGKVGK150902116

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

  1. VGK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:47

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 1st 10:47 — VGK 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.12T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.08B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.07S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.06N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01C. Schwindt · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.00
VGK1 G · 1.2 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
2.40 G
All situations
1 G1.2
1.90 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM74%26%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.36 – 1.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
28
Shots on goal
16
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/0
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
0
12
Hits
6
16
Blocked shots
22
14
Giveaways
19
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD000-130.22010—26:36
14M. EkholmD000-110.04220—25:28
97C. McDavidC000040.320006324:58
25D. NurseD000040.12230—22:17
29L. DraisaitlC000-110.060006521:46
27B. KulakD000020.07030—19:05
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-120.340007518:23
42K. KapanenR000020.11100—15:50
53J. SkinnerL000030.18000—15:50
19A. HenriqueC000020.220107315:13
28C. BrownR000-110.43110—15:09
49T. EmbersonD000020.04120—14:15
92V. PodkolzinR000000.00100—14:04
13M. JanmarkC000000.00000013:29
90C. PerryR000000.21000—13:14
51T. StecherD000000.00120—12:32
10D. RyanC000000.002103808:51
8D. CaggiulaL000010.03100—05:44
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)16151.9381.16+0.1657:16

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).