Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 6-3. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 1:13 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.6 to 4.2; shots on goal were VGK 42, EDM 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 2.3 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 2 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Brown (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★L. Draisaitl1 G, 2 A

- ★★R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 1 A

- ★★★C. Brown1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-117:36
2nd period
0-21:13
0-36:53
0-410:46
0-512:53
1-515:35
2-516:01
3rd period
3-51:00
3-61:38
Penalties
1st
- 7:22
Troy Stecher · Interferencedrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min
- 16:33
Brett Howden · Holdingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
2nd
- 19:32
Ivan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Zach Hyman, 2nd 1:13 — 69% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.63 G
- All situations
- 6 G4.2
- 3.62 G
- Even strength
- 5 G3.2
- 0.80 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.21 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.49 – 3.63
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 42
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 58%
- Faceoffs
- 42%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 31
- Hits
- 18
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 23
- 17
- Giveaways
- 20
- 1
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
