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Utah Hockey Club at Jets
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
FinalTV Utah16, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Utah Mammoth 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Perfetti's goal at 5:51 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were UTA 19, WPG 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Cole Perfetti (3 G), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 2 A), 3. Dylan DeMelo (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Perfetti3 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    D. DeMelo2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA051915219
WPGWPG11011138529

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    C. Perfetti(8)PPG
    N. Ehlers (27), G. Vilardi (23)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:52

2nd period

  1. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(10)PPG
    M. Kesselring (14), C. Keller (35)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:13
  2. WPG
    D. Gustafsson(1)
    D. DeMelo (8)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:48

3rd period

  1. UTA
    B. Hayton(12)
    J. Marino (2), C. Keller (36)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:19
  2. WPG
    C. Perfetti(9)
    V. Namestnikov (14), D. DeMelo (9)
    snapxG 0.45win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:51
  3. WPG
    N. Ehlers(15)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-4
    12:16
  4. WPG
    C. Perfetti(10)EN
    N. Ehlers (28), N. Pionk (25)
    wristxG 0.92win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    18:15

Penalties

UTA 2 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 17:04UTAMatias Maccelli · Holdingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 19:46WPGGabriel Vilardi · Slashingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

2nd

  • 15:17WPGDylan DeMelo · Interferencedrawn by Logan Cooley2 min

3rd

  • 18:41WPGMorgan Barron · Trippingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalUTA goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Perfetti, 3rd 5:51 — WPG 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Perfetti · Goal · xG 0.92C. Perfetti · Goal · xG 0.45M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.23N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.14N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.14D. Gustafsson · Goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.12C. Perfetti · Goal · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.11M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.08C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.07M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.07R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.07D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.06M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.05M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.00N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.00D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.7 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsWPG
1.82 G
All situations
4 G3.7
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA32%68%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsWPG
19
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
12
25
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
92L. CooleyC000-130.100004022:57
6J. MarinoD011-110.01210—22:56
7M. KesselringD011-210.05010—22:35
9C. KellerR022-110.49010—22:27
8N. SchmaltzC101010.230102921:54
2O. MaattaD000+110.06030—20:51
28I. ColeD000-300.00010—18:28
91J. DoanR000010.07010—16:27
4J. VälimäkiD000000.04210—15:40
57N. DeSimoneD000-110.04120—15:08
15A. KerfootC000-110.061006014:38
27B. HaytonC101020.270005614:13
67L. CrouseL000-110.08010—13:28
17N. BjugstadC000-110.191106712:54
22J. McBainC000000.003003812:18
82K. StenlundC000-220.120105711:44
63M. MaccelliL000-210.03102—11:18
53M. CarconeL000-110.02100—10:25
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)28244.8572.81-1.1958:51

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).