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Utah Hockey Club at Jets
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV Utah16, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Utah Mammoth 3-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Vilardi's goal at 17:57 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 55% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were UTA 21, WPG 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nino Niederreiter (2 G), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (21 saves, 1.000), 3. Gabriel Vilardi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Niederreiter2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck21 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    G. Vilardi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA060807021
WPGWPG01211026328

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +19 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:57

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:30
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.60win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:01

Penalties

UTA 4 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:26WPGRasmus Kupari · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min

2nd

  • 2:18WPGColin Miller · Trippingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 3:54UTANick Schmaltz · Interferencedrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 12:23WPGKyle Connor · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 16:02UTADylan Guenther · Hookingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

3rd

  • 8:29WPGLogan Stanley · Hookingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalUTA goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Vilardi, 2nd 17:57 — WPG 55% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.60M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.16R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.16D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.13G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.04C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.00D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 2.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsWPG
1.40 G
All situations
2 G2.3
0.80 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA43%57%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.40 – 1.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsWPG
21
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
24
5
Blocked shots
18
24
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9C. KellerR000-230.21100—24:27
98M. SergachevD000-220.08100—23:44
92L. CooleyC000-200.062005619:55
7M. KesselringD000-100.00100—18:35
8N. SchmaltzC000-110.220023318:06
2O. MaattaD000010.04010—18:02
28I. ColeD000000.00410—18:02
27B. HaytonC000010.160104218:00
11D. GuentherR000-240.26002—17:41
63M. MaccelliL000000.00000—16:24
67L. CrouseL000030.13410—16:02
15A. KerfootC000-110.031003315:02
10M. LamoureuxD000000.01100—14:58
22J. McBainC000010.022005013:14
4J. VälimäkiD000020.01010—13:03
82K. StenlundC000000.001005612:32
17N. BjugstadC000020.191005012:22
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00000—06:06
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)27252.9261.71-0.2959:50

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).