Winnipeg Jets at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe Utah Mammoth beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-2. The Utah Hockey Club scored first and never trailed. The Utah Hockey Club led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Olli Maatta's goal at 16:00 of the second period, which took the Utah Hockey Club's chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Utah Hockey Club, 2.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were WPG 25, UTA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 2.1 goals below expected; Connor Ingram stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Barrett Hayton (1 G, 2 A), 2. Logan Cooley (1 G), 3. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
0-116:00
0-219:42
3rd period
0-34:53
0-48:04
1-48:32
2-411:48
2-517:55
Penalties
2nd
- 0:35
Neal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
- 9:49
Dylan DeMelo · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
3rd
- 17:55
Michael Kesselring · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
- 17:55
Mark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min
- 17:55
Michael Kesselring · Misconduct10 min
- 17:55
Mark Scheifele · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Olli Maatta, 2nd 16:00 — 53% → 74%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.02 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.5
- 2.02 G
- Even strength
- 4 G1.6
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 1.92
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 37%
- Faceoffs
- 63%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 0/2
- 16
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 21
- Hits
- 27
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 9
- Giveaways
- 14
- 7
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
