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Sabres at Islanders
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸7
New York Islanders
1
FinalTV MSG-B, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the New York Islanders 7-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jiri Kulich's goal at 16:49 of the first period, which took the Sabres' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were BUF 25, NYI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 18 of 24 (.750), 3.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Rasmus Dahlin (4 A), 2. Jiri Kulich (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jack Quinn (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin4 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J.Kulich2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Quinn1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF2831225725
NYINYI05111012128

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    B. Malenstyn(3)
    J. Bryson (3), R. McLeod (10)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:07
  2. BUF
    J.Kulich(5)
    D. Cozens (9), R. Dahlin (14)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:49

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Zucker(9)PPG
    J. Quinn (5), R. Dahlin (15)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    6:53
  2. BUF
    Z. Benson(5)
    R. Dahlin (16), J.Kulich (2)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-0
    15:45
  3. BUF
    J. Quinn(4)
    D. Cozens (10), J. Peterka (15)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-0
    18:21
  4. NYI
    K. Palmieri(12)
    A. Duclair (3), I. George (4)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-1
    19:05

3rd period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(17)EN
    R. Dahlin (17)
    wristxG 0.45Video
    6-1
    10:07
  2. BUF
    J.Kulich(6)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07Video
    7-1
    15:49

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·NYI 12 PIM

1st

  • 14:45NYIAnders Lee · Slashingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 16:26BUFOwen Power · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ilya Sorokin2 min
  • 16:26NYIAlexander Romanov · Roughingdrawn by Owen Power2 min

2nd

  • 6:00NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Hookingdrawn by Jiri Kulich2 min
  • 11:21BUFPeyton Krebs · Roughingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 11:21NYIBo Horvat · Roughingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min

3rd

  • 2:42BUFRyan McLeod · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 5:28NYIIlya Sorokin · Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min
  • 13:48NYICasey Cizikas · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 13:48BUFDylan Cozens · Roughingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalBUF goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Jiri Kulich, 1st 16:49 — BUF 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.17C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.14M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.13B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.10B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.09N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.05A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.05N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03I. George · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.02H. Fasching · Missed · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.02I. George · Missed · xG 0.02S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.02A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.02I. George · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.00C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 2.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYI
2.66 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.75 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF49%51%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYI
25
Shots on goal
28
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
0/1
8
Penalty minutes
12
17
Hits
19
30
Blocked shots
9
17
Giveaways
23
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD044+410.07020—23:11
4B. ByramD000+410.00130—21:07
23M. SamuelssonD000010.06120—20:57
25O. PowerD000-120.10022—20:05
77J. PeterkaR011+140.16010—18:01
72T. ThompsonC101+110.541103517:04
89A. TuchR000+300.12150—16:33
17J. ZuckerL101+120.1511010015:53
75C. CliftonD000+120.04140—15:38
78J. BrysonD011+200.03030—15:30
24D. CozensC022+320.180225015:22
22J. QuinnR112+120.31010—15:10
20J.KulichC213+230.290002214:57
9Z. BensonL101020.35100—13:43
71R. McLeodC011+100.000025713:38
29B. MalenstynL101+110.10320—13:16
19P. KrebsC000010.054125012:05
81S. LaffertyC000+100.00300011:50
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)28271.9642.11+1.1160:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).