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Sabres at Islanders
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
0
New York Islanders
▸3
FinalTV MSG-B, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Holmstrom's goal at 9:28 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.6 to 1.5; shots on goal were BUF 29, NYI 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. James Reimer stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Ilya Sorokin stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Simon Holmstrom (2 G), 3. Anders Lee (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    S. Holmstrom2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF0907013029
NYINYI062816320

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(10)PPG
    K. Palmieri (10), D. Cholowski (4)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:23
  2. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(6)
    A. Lee (9)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:28

3rd period

  1. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(7)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.71Video
    0-3
    19:52

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 7:03BUFBowen Byram · Hookingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 9:57NYINoah Dobson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 0:56BUFAlex Tuch · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 4:23NYIBo Horvat · Trippingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min
  • 8:42BUFJacob Bryson · Trippingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalBUF goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Simon Holmstrom, 2nd 9:28 — NYI 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.71B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.24B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.15S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.12A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.10K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.09B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.06O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.06B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.03S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.03A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.02I. George · On goal · xG 0.01K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.6 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYI
1.50 G
All situations
2 G2.6
1.20 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF41%59%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.46 – 1.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYI
29
Shots on goal
20
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
30
13
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000-120.04130—26:49
25O. PowerD000-140.06000—24:38
4B. ByramD000020.03122—23:28
89A. TuchR000-220.26152—20:20
72T. ThompsonC000-240.180002920:01
77J. PeterkaR000-210.14210—19:48
24D. CozensC000-130.100004717:23
9Z. BensonL000020.21000—17:13
19P. KrebsC000000.063004016:17
10H. JokiharjuD000-110.04100—16:03
71R. McLeodC000010.060007313:35
17J. ZuckerL000-100.0000010013:20
75C. CliftonD000000.05210—13:14
20J.KulichC000020.04100012:39
22J. QuinnR000020.04000—12:37
96N. Aube-KubelR000030.16300—11:23
78J. BrysonD000000.00012—09:49
29B. MalenstynL000000.01100—09:46
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)19172.8951.87-0.1357:17

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).