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Wild at Blues
NHL

Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonas Brodin's goal at 13:44 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were MIN 28, STL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Jordan Binnington stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G), 2. Jonas Brodin (1 G), 3. Robert Thomas (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Brodin1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN17011310428
STLSTL091817224

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman(4)
    M. Rossi (10), B. Faber (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:24

2nd period

  1. STL
    S. Perunovich(2)
    J. Kyrou (12), Z. Bolduc (5)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:48

3rd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(12)
    J. Middleton (7), M. Boldy (9)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:07
  2. STL
    J. Neighbours(6)PPG
    P. Buchnevich (7), R. Thomas (6)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:37
  3. MIN
    J. Brodin(2)
    J. Spurgeon (6), M. Johansson (4)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +37 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:44
  4. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(13)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.52win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:37

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:20MINJonas Brodin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 12:09STLAlexandre Texier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 20:00MINJake Middleton · Roughingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 20:00STLJake Neighbours · Roughingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min

3rd

  • 3:48STLJustin Faulk · High stickingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 9:48MINMatt Boldy · High stickingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMIN goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Jonas Brodin, 3rd 13:44 — MIN 48% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.19J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.18J. Neighbours · Goal · xG 0.18J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.15J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.11S. Perunovich · Goal · xG 0.10J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.07J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.07R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.07J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.07M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.05B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.05B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.04J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.04R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02C. Schueneman · On goal · xG 0.02A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.02N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.02A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01C. Schueneman · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.00C. Schueneman · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSTL
3.03 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN55%45%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSTL
28
Shots on goal
24
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
17
19
Blocked shots
19
19
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD011+200.03010—23:05
97K. KaprizovL202+240.79010—21:58
25J. BrodinD101+220.07022—21:06
5J. MiddletonD011+320.10242—20:12
14J. Eriksson EkC000+230.223004619:27
46J. SpurgeonD011+100.00120—19:18
12M. BoldyL011+160.92022—17:49
47D. ChisholmD000-110.00000—17:41
23M. RossiC011+130.290105016:48
24Z. BogosianD000-110.02110—16:33
90M. JohanssonL011+120.18100—16:14
38R. HartmanR101+210.172205015:17
13Y. TreninC000000.00210014:13
89F. GaudreauC000010.070004013:55
17M. FolignoL000010.10310—12:36
22M. KhusnutdinovC000000.020005511:43
94J. LaukoC000000.04100010:03
39B. JonesC000010.02110007:13
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)24222.9172.25+0.2560:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).