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Wild at Blues
NHL

Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
St. Louis Blues
1
FinalTV ESPN·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Lauko's goal at 7:52 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 60% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.9 to 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 27, STL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (2 A), 2. Filip Gustavsson (27 saves, .964), 3. Jakub Lauko (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Lauko1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1418215427
STLSTL0601319128

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    R. Hartman(2)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (4), B. Faber (2)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:50

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Lauko(1)SHG
    M. Khusnutdinov (1), J. Brodin (2)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:52

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Rossi(1)
    M. Zuccarello (2), K. Kaprizov (5)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    0:46
  2. STL
    M. Joseph(1)
    Z. Bolduc (1), P. Broberg (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-1
    10:10
  3. MIN
    F. Gustavsson(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.53Video
    4-1
    19:51

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·STL 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:31STLAlexey Toropchenko · High stickingdrawn by Brock Faber2 min
  • 16:03MINJake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

2nd

  • 7:35MINFrederick Gaudreau · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 10:07STLMathieu Joseph · Slashingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min

3rd

  • 1:31STLJustin Faulk · High stickingdrawn by Liam Ohgren2 min
  • 15:57STLPhilip Broberg · High sticking double minordrawn by Ryan Hartman4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalMIN goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Jakub Lauko, 2nd 7:52 — MIN 60% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.21R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.19J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.18M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.17C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.15R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.14J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.12R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.09J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.08R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.06M. Joseph · Goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.05R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.05R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.04D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.03R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.03R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.03R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.03M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.02B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.02R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.01N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.00C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 2.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSTL
2.93 G
All situations
1 G2.4
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN51%49%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSTL
27
Shots on goal
28
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/5
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
22
23
Blocked shots
18
17
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97K. KaprizovL022+100.02010—27:59
7B. FaberD011+110.04210—24:54
25J. BrodinD011+210.00030—22:35
12M. BoldyL000030.281005021:48
36M. ZuccarelloR011+120.22000—21:14
5J. MiddletonD000020.03352—17:56
23M. RossiC101+110.330005816:39
24Z. BogosianD000+100.00000—15:44
17M. FolignoL000000.00400—14:52
22M. KhusnutdinovC011+100.001102514:44
38R. HartmanR101-130.40310—14:20
47D. ChisholmD000-110.01010—14:08
13Y. TreninC000020.14310013:43
89F. GaudreauC000020.210027513:18
28L. OhgrenL000-120.23200—12:32
4J. MerrillD000-100.00150—12:13
94J. LaukoC101040.44420009:20
48D. HuntD000020.05020—08:01
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)28271.9642.43+1.4360:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).