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Oilers at Blues
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
2
St. Louis Blues
▸3
Final/OTTV ESPN+, HULU·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2 in overtime, Brandon Saad scoring at 2:09. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Saad's goal at 2:09 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were EDM 38, STL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Jordan Binnington stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (2 G), 2. Brandon Saad (1 G), 3. Mattias Ekholm (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Schenn2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Saad1 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Ekholm1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM1901311303238
STLSTL061171511329

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    M. Ekholm(9)
    C. Brown (7), S. Carrick (6)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:05

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(16)PPG
    J. Faulk (26), K. Hayes (15)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:15

3rd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(17)
    K. Kapanen (16), K. Hayes (16)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:44
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(39)
    C. McDavid (97), M. Ekholm (32)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +36 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:35

Overtime

  1. STL
    B. Saad(25)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.29win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:09

Penalties

EDM 15 PIM·STL 11 PIM

2nd

  • 6:37EDMEvander Kane · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Tyler Tucker2 min
  • 6:37EDMEvander Kane · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Tucker5 min
  • 6:37STLTyler Tucker · Fightingdrawn by Evander Kane5 min
  • 8:15EDMserved by Z. Hyman · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 9:04EDMLeon Draisaitl · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 15:31STLJordan Binnington · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 18:28STLPavel Buchnevich · Cross checkingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 18:28EDMSam Carrick · Cross checkingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 19:15EDMLeon Draisaitl · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

3rd

  • 2:48STLTyler Tucker · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalEDM goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Saad, OT 2:09 — STL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.29J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.24M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.22J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.16J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.16J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.15J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.15K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.14J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.13B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.13J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.11J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.09K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.09A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.07A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.06C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.06S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.05R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.03N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02T. Tucker · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01
STL3 G · 3.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSTL
2.82 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.42 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM43%57%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSTL
38
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
11
15
Hits
29
9
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
8
20
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD112+140.15110—24:49
25D. NurseD000060.10010—24:01
97C. McDavidC011-130.292005021:44
2E. BouchardD000+130.19010—21:41
5C. CeciD000020.06110—21:00
29L. DraisaitlC101030.521042920:41
18Z. HymanL000040.45200—20:39
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000040.421105018:45
73V. DesharnaisD000000.00220—14:30
91E. KaneL000000.00217—14:12
19A. HenriqueC000020.131002513:48
27B. KulakD000-110.01000—13:37
71R. McLeodC000-120.060104213:24
37W. FoegeleL000000.07000—12:33
90C. PerryR000010.17000—11:48
28C. BrownR011+110.09000—11:05
13M. JanmarkC000+120.09000010:28
39S. CarrickC011+100.002027308:04
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(O)29263.8973.27+0.2762:09

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).