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St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers

Final/OTTV TNT, MAX·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, Connor McDavid scoring at 4:34. The Oilers came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 4:34 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 34, EDM 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Stuart Skinner stopped 32 of 34 (.941). Three stars: 1. Zach Hyman (2 G), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 3. Robert Thomas (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL2801201004234
EDMEDM11111101113336

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(20)PPG
    T. Krug (28), J. Kyrou (27)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:19
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou (28), R. Thomas (48)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:49
  3. EDM
    Z. Hyman(39)PPG
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:16

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:54

Overtime

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.07win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:34

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:05EDMLeon Draisaitl · High stickingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
  • 18:08STLKevin Hayes · Trippingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

2nd

  • 14:30EDMDarnell Nurse · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 20:00EDMEvan Bouchard · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

3rd

  • 9:45STLOskar Sundqvist · High stickingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSTL goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, OT 4:34 — EDM 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.23Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.22Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.20W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.17C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.09B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.07C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.06D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.04R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.04D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.04B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.00W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.00D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 3.2 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsEDM
2.42 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL35%65%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsEDM
34
Shots on goal
36
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
35
24
Blocked shots
8
12
Giveaways
12
12
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000-150.25540—27:58
47T. KrugD011020.03040—25:31
4N. LeddyD000010.05110—25:08
72J. FaulkD000030.05240—22:35
18R. ThomasC112010.270105222:34
25J. KyrouR022030.27120—19:25
20B. SaadL000030.41000—19:12
89P. BuchnevichL101+130.22100—19:04
63J. NeighboursL000-130.27010—17:36
12K. HayesR000010.030026216:42
10B. SchennC000-100.002105616:01
13A. ToropchenkoR000-110.08310—14:56
70O. SundqvistC000000.003123314:19
26N. WalkerL000010.06210—11:26
76Z. BolducR000040.25000—11:14
6M. ScandellaD000010.02000—09:52
75T. TuckerD000010.02620—09:22
59N. AlexandrovC000010.11210009:01
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(O)36333.9173.25+0.2564:12

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).