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Oilers at Blues
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
3
St. Louis Blues
▸6
FinalTV BSMW, SNW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Torey Krug's goal at 8:37 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals were close — EDM 4.0, STL 4.1; shots on goal were EDM 38, STL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 1.4 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jake Neighbours (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jordan Binnington (35 saves, .921).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Neighbours1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington35 saves, .921

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM214014110338
STLSTL1841517630

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(19)
    N. Leddy (17), P. Buchnevich (24)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:13
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(26)PPG
    C. McDavid (57), E. Bouchard (36)
    snapxG 0.31win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:51
  3. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(15)
    Z. Hyman (18), C. McDavid (58)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:33

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(19)
    B. Schenn (17), T. Krug (25)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:09
  2. STL
    T. Krug(2)
    J. Neighbours (6), M. Kessel (2)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    8:37
  3. STL
    J. Kyrou(18)PPG
    J. Neighbours (7), R. Thomas (40)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-4
    15:32
  4. STL
    P. Buchnevich(18)PPG
    R. Thomas (41), J. Kyrou (24)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-5
    19:35

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. Perry(5)
    B. Kulak (5), C. McDavid (59)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-5
    11:14
  2. STL
    B. Saad(14)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.54Video
    3-6
    17:07

Penalties

EDM 21 PIM·STL 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:20STLMatthew Kessel · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min
  • 11:23EDMLeon Draisaitl · Trippingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 12:33STLJordan Kyrou · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 15:04STLNikita Alexandrov · High stickingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

2nd

  • 3:55EDMVincent Desharnais · Hookingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
  • 15:25EDMVincent Desharnais · Cross checkingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 16:15EDMCorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Marco Scandella5 min
  • 16:15STLMarco Scandella · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 18:39EDMConnor Brown · Hookingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min

3rd

  • 4:44EDMCody Ceci · Slashingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 6:36EDMVincent Desharnais · Elbowingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 6:36EDMVincent Desharnais · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 14:49EDMDylan Holloway · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalEDM goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Torey Krug, 2nd 8:37 — STL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.54J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.16J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.15B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.14J. Neighbours · Goal · xG 0.14P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.14T. Krug · Goal · xG 0.14J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.13R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.13B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.13J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.12J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.11J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.10K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.09A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.09K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.09R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.06R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.05R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.04A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03N. Alexandrov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.00
STL6 G · 4.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSTL
4.03 G
All situations
5 G4.1
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.91 G
Power play
2 G1.6
0.50 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM57%43%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.92 – 3.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSTL
38
Shots on goal
30
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/3
Power play
2/8
21
Penalty minutes
11
12
Hits
13
14
Blocked shots
15
0
Giveaways
6
14
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000030.20130—23:19
2E. BouchardD011-230.05120—22:25
27B. KulakD011050.07120—19:21
14M. EkholmD000-220.11210—19:02
5C. CeciD000020.04002—19:01
97C. McDavidC033-220.221005418:47
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101-220.591104218:42
29L. DraisaitlC101020.641025016:36
91E. KaneL000-140.202003316:34
73V. DesharnaisD000000.02118—15:25
71R. McLeodC000010.050003615:15
18Z. HymanL011-350.45000—14:26
37W. FoegeleL000020.27010—14:00
55D. HollowayL000000.06012—12:27
28C. BrownR000010.40022—12:24
13M. JanmarkC000000.031004010:16
90C. PerryR101+110.27005—09:50
10D. RyanC000030.340002009:29
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)29245.8283.57-1.4359:38

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).