New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres
Recap
written from the game dataThe Buffalo Sabres beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Sabres came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tage Thompson's goal at 15:26 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.0 to 2.8; shots on goal were NJD 30, BUF 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Devon Levi stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tage Thompson (4 G), 2. Devon Levi (28 saves, .933), 3. Alex Tuch (2 A).
Three stars
- ★T. Thompson4 G

- ★★D. Levi28 saves, .933

- ★★★A. Tuch2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-03:00
2-010:31
2nd period
2-10:28
2-217:29
3rd period
2-315:26
2-419:22
2-519:54
Penalties
1st
- 15:04
Bowen Byram · Slashingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min
- 16:38
Alex Tuch · Trippingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
2nd
- 14:41
Dylan Cozens · Slashingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tage Thompson, 3rd 15:26 — 52% → 91%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.82 G
- All situations
- 3 G4.0
- 2.42 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.5
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.48
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 66%
- Faceoffs
- 34%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/0
- 0
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 18
- Hits
- 37
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 8
- Giveaways
- 3
- 5
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
