Skip to content

New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres

FinalTV NHLN, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Sabres came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tage Thompson's goal at 15:26 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.0 to 2.8; shots on goal were NJD 30, BUF 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Devon Levi stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tage Thompson (4 G), 2. Devon Levi (28 saves, .933), 3. Alex Tuch (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    T. Thompson4 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    D. Levi28 saves, .933
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    A. Tuch2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD21101207230
BUFBUF08211317536

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:00
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:31

2nd period

  1. BUF
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:28
  2. BUF
    A. Tuch (31)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:29

3rd period

  1. BUF
    R. Dahlin (36), A. Tuch (32)
    backhandxG 0.31win prob +39 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:26
  2. BUF
    D. Cozens (27), O. Power (23)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:22
  3. BUF
    wristxG 0.90Video
    2-5
    19:54

Penalties

NJD 0 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:04BUFBowen Byram · Slashingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min
  • 16:38BUFAlex Tuch · Trippingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min

2nd

  • 14:41BUFDylan Cozens · Slashingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalNJD goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Tage Thompson, 3rd 15:26 — BUF 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.90J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.52T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.31Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.29J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.17T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.13Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.11J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.10J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.09B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.09J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.08J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.08C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.07A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.07J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.07D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.06T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.04H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.04J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.04A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.03O. Power · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.02O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.02O. Power · Missed · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.02A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.00R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF5 G · 4.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsBUF
2.82 G
All situations
3 G4.0
2.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD55%45%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsBUF
30
Shots on goal
36
66%
Faceoffs
34%
0/3
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
37
12
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
3
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86J. HughesC000-350.39000025:31
17S. NemecD000010.18030—23:17
56E. HaulaL000-140.332208122:09
43L. HughesD011-240.14100—21:33
28T. MeierR011-300.02100—19:43
13N. HischierC011-310.110007119:24
88K. BahlD000-110.05100—18:41
63J. BrattL101-250.74100—18:13
10A. HoltzR000000.002105017:46
6J. MarinoD000-100.00010—17:35
2B. SmithD000000.01510—17:30
91D. MercerC000030.44000015:10
57N. DeSimoneD000020.04010—14:45
18O. PalatL000-210.26100—13:32
92T. NosekL000020.080005013:18
42C. LazarC000-100.003105009:15
11C. TierneyC011+100.001005007:48
46M. WillmanC101+110.05020006:27
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)34313.9122.54-0.4658:23

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).