Skip to content
Sabres at Devils
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
New Jersey Devils
▸7
FinalTV MSG-B, MSG·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Buffalo Sabres 7-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 11:09 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.9 to 1.0; shots on goal were BUF 12, NJD 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 91% of the time. Devon Levi stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.9 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 10 of 12 (.833), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Toffoli (2 G), 3. Alexander Holtz (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Toffoli2 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    A. Holtz1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF031316212
NJDNJD417110210737

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    A. Holtz(6)
    E. Haula (6), D. Hamilton (10)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:31
  2. NJD
    T. Toffoli(10)
    B. Smith (1), D. Mercer (2)
    backhandxG 0.35win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:09
  3. NJD
    N. Hischier(3)
    O. Palat (8), J. Bratt (16)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    15:20
  4. NJD
    O. Palat(2)
    J. Bratt (17), N. Hischier (1)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-4
    18:27

2nd period

  1. BUF
    J. Skinner(10)PPG
    A. Tuch (8), C. Mittelstadt (14)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    1:53
  2. NJD
    T. Toffoli(11)
    A. Holtz (3), L. Hughes (10)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-5
    2:44

3rd period

  1. NJD
    D. Mercer(4)
    D. Hamilton (11), J. Hughes (17)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-6
    0:50
  2. BUF
    K. Okposo(2)PPG
    O. Power (9), J. Peterka (8)
    tip-inxG 0.14Video
    2-6
    3:55
  3. NJD
    L. Hughes(2)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06Video
    2-7
    5:38

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:35NJDBrendan Smith · Roughingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 18:35BUFConnor Clifton · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min

2nd

  • 0:42NJDDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Dahlin2 min

3rd

  • 3:35NJDBrendan Smith · Hookingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 5:24BUFRasmus Dahlin · Slashingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalBUF goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, 1st 11:09 — NJD 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.35N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.34E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.20A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.18O. Palat · Goal · xG 0.18T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.18K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.16A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.15J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.15N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.14B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.13A. Holtz · Goal · xG 0.12D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.11C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.11J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.10M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07L. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.06N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.06A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.04O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.02D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.00D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD7 G · 3.9 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNJD
1.02 G
All situations
7 G3.9
0.70 G
Even strength
6 G3.4
0.32 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF9%91%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.04 – 3.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNJD
12
Shots on goal
37
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/2
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
42
19
Blocked shots
9
0
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25O. PowerD011-300.00210—27:59
26R. DahlinD000-100.00132—26:08
33R. JohnsonD000-100.00000—25:01
75C. CliftonD000-400.00112—17:07
89A. TuchR011-200.04420—17:00
37C. MittelstadtC011-220.200004716:56
19P. KrebsC000010.020202916:32
53J. SkinnerL101-230.29110—16:15
77J. PeterkaR011-120.10020—16:10
6E. JohnsonD000-200.00220—16:03
9Z. BensonL000-200.0112010015:03
20J.KulichC000-110.02100014:53
21K. OkposoR101-120.281106014:29
24D. CozensC000-200.060104514:26
71V. OlofssonL000-100.00000—13:13
63I. RosenR000-200.00000—13:00
17T. JostC000-200.020104311:19
23M. SamuelssonD000-110.00200—06:27
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
27D. Levi20173.8502.13-0.8739:45
31E. Comrie(L)17134.7651.75-2.2520:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).