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Sabres at Devils
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
4
New Jersey Devils
▸5
FinalTV MSG-B, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Haula's goal at 14:17 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were BUF 27, NJD 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Vitek Vanecek stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Erik Haula (2 G), 2. Jesper Bratt (1 G), 3. Michael McLeod (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    E. Haula2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    M. McLeod1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF21211114427
NJDNJD21517217539

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Peterka(3)
    H. Jokiharju (4), O. Power (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:11
  2. NJD
    A. Holtz(2)
    L. Hughes (2), M. McLeod (1)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:41
  3. BUF
    T. Thompson(4)
    A. Tuch (3), J. Greenway (3)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:42
  4. NJD
    J. Bratt(4)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.23win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:11

2nd period

  1. NJD
    E. Haula(3)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:47
  2. BUF
    R. Dahlin(1)
    M. Samuelsson (2), J. Skinner (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:32

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(5)PPG
    L. Hughes (3), T. Meier (5)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +22 pts
    3-4
    2:09
  2. BUF
    D. Cozens(3)
    K. Okposo (3)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +34 ptsVideo
    4-4
    12:35
  3. NJD
    E. Haula(4)
    K. Bahl (1), J. Marino (4)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +37 ptsVideo
    4-5
    14:17

Penalties

BUF 16 PIM·NJD 21 PIM

1st

  • 8:39NJDBrendan Smith · High stickingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 11:03BUFKyle Okposo · High stickingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 16:00NJDOndrej Palat · Instigatordrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 16:00BUFConnor Clifton · Fightingdrawn by Ondrej Palat5 min
  • 16:00NJDOndrej Palat · Fightingdrawn by Connor Clifton5 min
  • 16:00NJDOndrej Palat · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 16:00BUFConnor Clifton · Match penaltydrawn by Nico Hischier5 min

2nd

  • 13:10NJDserved by A. Holtz · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 0:56BUFUkko-Pekka Luukkonen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:27BUFOwen Power · Trippingdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalBUF goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Haula, 3rd 14:17 — NJD 52% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.23A. Holtz · Goal · xG 0.22T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.16E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.16T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.14T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.12E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.08D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.07T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.06L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.04J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.02M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.00D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD5 G · 2.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNJD
2.44 G
All situations
5 G2.7
2.14 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF45%55%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.41 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNJD
27
Shots on goal
39
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
1/4
26
Penalty minutes
21
16
Hits
14
21
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
9
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD101010.07250—26:39
25O. PowerD011+130.31202—24:18
23M. SamuelssonD011010.00360—23:56
72T. ThompsonC101020.463002122:19
10H. JokiharjuD011+100.05130—20:15
53J. SkinnerL011-250.23110—18:09
89A. TuchR011030.48010—18:06
37C. MittelstadtC000-120.120104716:32
24D. CozensC101-110.101103316:07
6E. JohnsonD000000.00000—16:04
12J. GreenwayL011+140.10000—15:49
77J. PeterkaR101+110.10000—13:45
21K. OkposoR011000.000225011:57
17T. JostC000+100.001006011:53
28Z. GirgensonsC000020.34100011:11
19P. KrebsC000+100.001003310:36
71V. OlofssonL000020.09010—09:49
75C. CliftonD000-100.000020—04:28
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31E. Comrie18162.8891.58-0.4229:46
1U. Luukkonen(L)21183.8571.16-1.8428:08

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).