Skip to content
Islanders at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸5
Carolina Hurricanes
4
FinalTV BSSO, MSGSN2·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-4. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 3:44 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 74% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYI 28, CAR 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 36 of 40 (.900); Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (1 G, 2 A), 2. Bo Horvat (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Horvat1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI31216110528
CARCAR115110215440

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    S. Aho(1)
    K. Palmieri (11), B. Nelson (14)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:19
  2. CAR
    T. Teravainen(13)
    S. Jarvis (13), D. Orlov (12)
    backhandxG 0.82win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:22
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(16)
    M. Reilly (5), K. Palmieri (12)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:43
  4. NYI
    B. Horvat(14)
    M. Barzal (24), A. Lee (4)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:25

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(13)PPG
    M. Bunting (16), A. Svechnikov (11)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:59
  2. NYI
    M. Reilly(2)
    M. Barzal (25), A. Lee (5)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    14:12

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Slavin(4)
    M. Necas (15), A. Svechnikov (12)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:56
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(10)
    N. Dobson (29), B. Horvat (19)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-3
    3:44
  3. CAR
    S. Noesen(10)PPG
    M. Necas (16), B. Skjei (15)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    5-4
    9:17

Penalties

NYI 10 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:41CARMartin Necas · High stickingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 7:53NYIRobert Bortuzzo · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

2nd

  • 0:50NYIMike Reilly · Interferencedrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 2:26NYIPierre Engvall · Interferencedrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 2:30CARSeth Jarvis · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min

3rd

  • 7:48NYIAnders Lee · Hookingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 9:34CARJordan Staal · Trippingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 20:00NYIRobert Bortuzzo · Roughingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 20:00CARStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYI goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 3rd 3:44 — NYI 74% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.82M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.41J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.31J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.22A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.17M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.17S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.15J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.15M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.12M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.06D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.05D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 4.1 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCAR
2.15 G
All situations
4 G4.1
2.05 G
Even strength
2 G3.5
0.00 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI18%82%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 3.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCAR
28
Shots on goal
40
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
19
24
Blocked shots
8
1
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD011-120.07120—28:08
28A. RomanovD000-110.02140—24:40
13M. BarzalC022+330.19000019:47
14B. HorvatC112+310.131004718:28
2M. ReillyD112+330.07002—17:11
25S. AhoD101+420.07120—17:07
53C. CizikasC000010.303105915:48
21K. PalmieriC022020.20000015:39
4S. BolducD000+120.01030—15:38
41R. BortuzzoD000010.01224—15:36
27A. LeeL123+320.16012—15:35
44J. PageauC000010.021405615:31
18P. EngvallL000020.210026715:30
29B. NelsonC112040.570003815:03
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.00220—13:42
20H. FaschingR000000.00100—11:55
10S. HolmstromR000010.04000—10:59
16J. GauthierR000000.00130—08:13
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)40364.9004.10+0.1059:52

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).