Skip to content
Panthers at Maple Leafs
NHL

Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸3
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
Final/OTTV BSFL, SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 in overtime, Brandon Montour scoring at 1:41. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Montour's goal at 1:41 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.2 to 3.1; shots on goal were FLA 29, TOR 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Brandon Montour (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Lyon (38 saves, .950), 3. Ilya Samsonov (26 saves, .897).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Montour1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Lyon38 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    I. Samsonov26 saves, .897

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA1701111011329
TORTOR01411511001240

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(10)
    E. Luostarinen (25)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:00

2nd period

  1. TOR
    Z. Aston-Reese(8)
    T. Brodie (10), W. Simmonds (2)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    3:13

3rd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(37)
    M. Marner (67)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +28 pts
    1-2
    6:40
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(28)PPG
    A. Ekblad (20), B. Montour (49)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +36 pts
    2-2
    19:00

Overtime

  1. FLA
    B. Montour(14)
    A. Barkov (47), S. Reinhart (29)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:41

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·TOR 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:54TORWayne Simmonds · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 1:54FLARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min
  • 8:50FLAJosh Mahura · Interferencedrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 17:44TORMitch Marner · Trippingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

2nd

  • 4:20FLARyan Lomberg · Interferencedrawn by Morgan Rielly2 min
  • 11:33FLABrandon Montour · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese0 min
  • 11:37TORAlexander Kerfoot · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 15:40FLACarter Verhaeghe · Holdingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 19:53FLAAaron Ekblad · Interferencedrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

3rd

  • 12:15TORMitch Marner · High stickingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 17:40TORMark Giordano · Hookingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalFLA goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Brandon Montour, OT 1:41 — FLA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.40M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.33T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.24A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.21M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.19Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.16J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.16W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.13M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.13D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.12D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.11T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.10M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Aston-Reese · Goal · xG 0.09Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.08C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.08J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.07M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.05W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.03S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.03J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.00C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 4.2 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsTOR
3.13 G
All situations
2 G4.2
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA39%61%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 3.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsTOR
29
Shots on goal
40
35%
Faceoffs
65%
1/4
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
13
12
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000-130.04210—25:16
62B. MontourD112+110.24210—24:23
5A. EkbladD011-150.26302—24:15
16A. BarkovC011010.330004524:06
19M. TkachukL000+130.37100—20:59
13S. ReinhartC112+120.291204320:21
23C. VerhaegheC000-110.14002018:24
12E. StaalC000020.221102218:10
27E. LuostarinenC011+100.14010017:35
7R. GudasD000010.03332—17:23
10A. DuclairL000-130.44200—16:14
18M. StaalD000000.00000—15:35
94R. LombergL000030.36322—14:03
15A. LundellC101+130.200002513:43
28J. MahuraD000000.00102—11:06
21N. CousinsC000-110.02100007:02
6C. WhiteC000-100.00210004:17
54G. SmithR000-100.00100—03:29
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(W)40382.9503.82+1.8260:23

Season series

TOR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).