Skip to content
Maple Leafs at Panthers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸6
Florida Panthers
2
FinalTV BSFLX, SNO·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Florida Panthers 6-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Auston Matthews's goal at 2:57 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were TOR 27, FLA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (2 G), 2. William Nylander (1 G, 1 A), 3. John Tavares (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR1103928627
FLAFLA112113010235

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(33)
    M. Marner (64), M. Giordano (19)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:05
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(35)PPG
    B. Montour (48), C. Verhaeghe (29)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    14:25

2nd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(36)
    J. Tavares (40)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    1:20
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(34)
    M. Giordano (20), J. Holl (14)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    2:57
  3. FLA
    N. Cousins(7)
    A. Barkov (46), J. Mahura (12)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    11:43
  4. TOR
    M. Bunting(21)PPG
    J. Tavares (41), W. Nylander (45)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    4-2
    18:21

3rd period

  1. TOR
    A. Kerfoot(8)
    J. Tavares (42), J. McCabe (19)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    14:23
  2. TOR
    M. Marner(28)EN
    D. Kampf (18)
    wristxG 0.85win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    15:49

Penalties

TOR 6 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:55FLAEric Staal · Trippingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 6:19FLAserved by R. Lomberg · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:09TORJohn Tavares · Hookingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

2nd

  • 4:00TORMichael Bunting · Interferencedrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 17:28FLAAaron Ekblad · Hookingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
  • 17:59FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

3rd

  • 15:07TORErik Gustafsson · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTOR goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Auston Matthews, 2nd 2:57 — TOR 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.17S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.14A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.09E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02C. White · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01J. Mahura · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 2.4 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsFLA
3.75 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.24 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR58%42%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsFLA
27
Shots on goal
35
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
26
12
Blocked shots
18
3
Giveaways
4
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
78T. BrodieD000+300.00010—21:00
16M. MarnerR112+331.00000—20:17
91J. TavaresC033+120.530026119:30
3J. HollD011+320.07220—19:24
34A. MatthewsC202+240.260004719:23
19C. JarnkrokC000+210.26000018:32
22J. McCabeD011+210.01320—18:13
56E. GustafssonD000000.00002—17:58
88W. NylanderR112+130.55010—17:31
52N. AcciariC000+100.003002016:51
58M. BuntingL101+140.60302—15:07
55M. GiordanoD022+200.00210—15:03
64D. KampfC011020.071003614:55
15A. KerfootC101+120.22000014:20
28S. LaffertyC000000.00100013:31
2L. SchennD000-110.01210—11:22
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000-110.08020—10:55
37T. LiljegrenD000-110.01120—10:52
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)35332.9432.36+0.3660:00

Season series

TOR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).