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Avalanche at Ducks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Anaheim Ducks
1
FinalTV BSW, ALT2·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-1. The Ducks scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Johnson's goal at 2:05 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were COL 44, ANA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.3 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 39 of 44 (.886), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A), 2. Cale Makar (2 A), 3. Derek Grant (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Makar2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    D. Grant1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL212215117544
ANAANA11109010130

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    D. Grant(5)
    J. Silfverberg (15)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    12:08
  2. COL
    B. Byram(9)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    15:43
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(32)
    M. Rantanen (40), C. Makar (48)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:52

2nd period

  1. COL
    J. Johnson(1)
    D. Malgin (7), M. Nieto (10)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    2:05
  2. COL
    V. Nichushkin(16)
    N. MacKinnon (63), C. Makar (49)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    3:46

3rd period

  1. COL
    S. Girard(6)PPG
    E. Rodrigues (20), B. Byram (12)
    slapxG 0.24win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    4:22

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:27COLMikko Rantanen · Interferencedrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

2nd

  • 14:08ANAJakob Silfverberg · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 17:23COLLogan O'Connor · Interferencedrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

3rd

  • 4:06ANAJakob Silfverberg · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 5:41COLJack Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 17:32ANAMax Jones · Cross checkingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCOL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Jack Johnson, 2nd 2:05 — COL 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.15C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.15D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.15M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.14T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.13D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.12D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.11M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.11D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.10M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.08S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.08R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.07M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.06M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.05N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.03D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.02S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.01I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.01B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.01T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsANA
4.05 G
All situations
1 G2.3
3.14 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL77%23%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.95 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsANA
44
Shots on goal
30
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
7
Hits
11
10
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
49S. GirardD101+130.32010—22:47
7D. ToewsD000+120.06110—22:14
8C. MakarD022+140.26000—22:14
13V. NichushkinR101+150.33120—22:04
96M. RantanenR011+140.6510210020:46
29N. MacKinnonC112+130.210002720:13
4B. ByramD112+170.37100—19:58
37J. CompherL000010.100002718:20
18A. NewhookC000020.601108016:39
9E. RodriguesC011000.06000015:45
3J. JohnsonD101+120.05102—15:27
6E. JohnsonD000+110.06010—15:20
83M. NietoL011+100.1801010011:27
20L. EllerC000+120.150106311:20
25L. O'ConnorR000+120.16012—10:23
43D. HelmC000+120.120005010:11
11A. CoglianoC000+110.080105010:10
81D. MalginC011+130.26100009:05
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(W)30291.9672.29+1.2959:42

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).