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Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSGSN, SN1·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Ottawa Senators 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dougie Hamilton's goal at 3:34 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were OTT 28, NJD 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Dylan Ferguson stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.7 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jesper Bratt (1 G), 3. Dougie Hamilton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Hamilton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1729012328
NJDNJD111213211535

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:14
  2. NJD
    J. Hughes(40)PPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    10:21

2nd period

  1. NJD
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    2:24
  2. NJD
    slapxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:33
  3. OTT
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    9:22
  4. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    16:03

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes (46), O. Palat (12)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +25 pts
    3-4
    3:34
  2. NJD
    T. Tatar(17)EN
    snapxG 0.40win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    19:17

Penalties

OTT 9 PIM·NJD 21 PIM

1st

  • 7:28NJDJohn Marino · Holdingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 8:33OTTBrady Tkachuk · Chargingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
  • 10:59NJDMiles Wood · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 10:59OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Miles Wood5 min
  • 10:59NJDMiles Wood · Instigatordrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 10:59NJDMiles Wood · Misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 7:18NJDDamon Severson · High stickingdrawn by Nick Holden2 min

3rd

  • 10:27OTTPatrick Brown · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalOTT goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Dougie Hamilton, 3rd 3:34 — NJD 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.40J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.22N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.22M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.19J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.18N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.18T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.17O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.16J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.13Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.12J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.11D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.11T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.11T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.10O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.09O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.08M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.08E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.04E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.04D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.00D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD5 G · 3.7 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNJD
1.63 G
All situations
4 G3.7
1.63 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT21%79%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.60 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNJD
28
Shots on goal
35
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
21
32
Hits
13
19
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD101010.04200—26:04
85J. SandersonD000020.05110—24:40
28C. GirouxR000-230.083104523:54
18T. StützleC022010.03130023:51
12A. DeBrincatR000-230.18100—22:32
2A. ZubD000-100.00110—21:52
23T. HamonicD011+130.05210—20:29
19D. BathersonR011+130.24310—19:09
57S. PintoC000020.273304618:27
7B. TkachukL101-130.106075018:04
27D. GambrellC000020.041002010:51
38P. BrownC000010.0410210010:51
26E. BrannstromD000-100.00000—10:32
5N. HoldenD000-120.19220—10:31
61D. BrassardC000000.02010009:58
16A. WatsonL000+110.09330—09:17
77J. GauthierR000-100.10000—08:36
47M. KastelicC101010.082205007:42
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34D. Ferguson(L)34304.8823.34-0.6658:52

Season series

NJD leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).