Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils
Recap
written from the game dataThe New Jersey Devils beat the Ottawa Senators 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dougie Hamilton's goal at 3:34 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were OTT 28, NJD 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Dylan Ferguson stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.7 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jesper Bratt (1 G), 3. Dougie Hamilton (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Hughes1 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Bratt1 G

- ★★★D. Hamilton1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-03:14
1-110:21
2nd period
1-22:24
1-33:33
2-39:22
3-316:03
3rd period
3-43:34
3-519:17
Penalties
1st
- 7:28
John Marino · Holdingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
- 8:33
Brady Tkachuk · Chargingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
- 10:59
Miles Wood · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
- 10:59
Brady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Miles Wood5 min
- 10:59
Miles Wood · Instigatordrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
- 10:59
Miles Wood · Misconduct10 min
2nd
- 7:18
Damon Severson · High stickingdrawn by Nick Holden2 min
3rd
- 10:27
Patrick Brown · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dougie Hamilton, 3rd 3:34 — 52% → 78%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.63 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.7
- 1.63 G
- Even strength
- 3 G3.0
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.60 – 3.32
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/2
- 9
- Penalty minutes
- 21
- 32
- Hits
- 13
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 6
- Giveaways
- 8
- 7
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
NJD leads 3-0
3@
4OTFinal
5@
1Final
3@
5this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
