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New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NHLN, MSGSN·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Ottawa Senators 5-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan Bastian's goal at 15:54 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 62% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 36, OTT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Yegor Sharangovich (1 G, 1 A), 2. Akira Schmid (25 saves, .962), 3. Nathan Bastian (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    Y. Sharangovich1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    A. Schmid25 saves, .962
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Bastian1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD21521417536
OTTOTT0911205126

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    E. Haula(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    7:10
  2. NJD
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    15:54

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.28win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    3:00
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    17:29
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.34win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    19:25

3rd period

  1. NJD
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.36
    5-1
    17:31

Penalties

NJD 4 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:49NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 5:43OTTErik Brannstrom · Hookingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 13:50OTTDylan Gambrell · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min

2nd

  • 7:07OTTDrake Batherson · Hookingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 18:26NJDMichael McLeod · Hookingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

3rd

  • 8:54OTTDerick Brassard · Trippingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNJD goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Nathan Bastian, 1st 15:54 — NJD 62% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.19T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.16C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.15D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.14T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.14D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.14B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.12T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.09D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.06T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.05D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.05S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 2.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsOTT
4.54 G
All situations
1 G2.3
2.02 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
1.31 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.41 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD72%28%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.56 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsOTT
36
Shots on goal
26
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
23
Hits
37
11
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
21
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. HamiltonD000+220.18210—22:19
6J. MarinoD000+120.02110—20:18
71J. SiegenthalerD011+200.01232—19:02
86J. HughesC000010.09100018:44
14N. BastianR101+230.33610—18:42
33R. GravesD000+210.50010—18:34
13N. HischierC011040.410004517:45
63J. BrattL000040.24110—17:28
28D. SeversonD011-120.05000—17:09
2B. SmithD000000.01210—16:23
56E. HaulaL101040.490004515:46
17Y. SharangovichC112+130.36100014:55
44M. WoodL011+230.19010—14:24
20M. McLeodC112+241.030024413:50
49F. ZetterlundL011010.12400—13:30
90T. TatarL000000.06010—13:18
91D. MercerC000010.0210010012:08
70J. BoqvistC101+110.392002511:45
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(W)26251.9622.27+1.2760:00

Season series

NJD leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).