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Senators at Devils
NHL

Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils

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Ottawa Senators
3
New Jersey Devils
▸4
Final/OTTV MSGSN2, TSN5·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in overtime, Nico Hischier scoring at 4:27. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Devils led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nico Hischier's goal at 4:27 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 4.0 to 3.3; shots on goal were OTT 28, NJD 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 37 of 41 (.902); Vitek Vanecek stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (2 G), 2. Shane Pinto (2 G), 3. Tomas Tatar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    S. Pinto2 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    T. Tatar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT27071905328
NJDNJD2111210712441

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    T. Tatar(2)
    J. Hughes (9), J. Siegenthaler (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:44
  2. OTT
    S. Pinto(7)PPG
    C. Giroux (5), J. Sanderson (7)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    12:15
  3. OTT
    T. Hamonic(2)
    M. Kastelic (1), A. Watson (2)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    13:24
  4. NJD
    N. Hischier(7)
    J. Marino (6), R. Graves (4)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    18:06

2nd period

  1. NJD
    M. Wood(6)
    M. McLeod (6), N. Bastian (5)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    2:53

3rd period

  1. OTT
    S. Pinto(8)
    D. Batherson (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +24 pts
    3-3
    1:29

Overtime

  1. NJD
    N. Hischier(8)PPG
    D. Hamilton (8), J. Hughes (10)
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    4:27

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:52NJDBrendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 10:36NJDBrendan Smith · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 14:10OTTTim Stützle · Interferencedrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min

2nd

  • 14:32OTTThomas Chabot · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Vitek Vanecek2 min

3rd

  • 3:59NJDJack Hughes · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Anton Forsberg2 min

OT

  • 1:23NJDJohn Marino · Slashingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 4:18OTTThomas Chabot · Holdingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalOTT goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Nico Hischier, OT 4:27 — NJD 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.45N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.21T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.19M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.19N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.18M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.18E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.17T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.16M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.16N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.12F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.11T. Tatar · Goal · xG 0.11N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.10D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.09T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.09F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.09J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.06E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.06M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.06J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.06E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.06J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.06B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.05D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.04J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.03J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.00R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 4.0 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsNJD
3.33 G
All situations
4 G4.0
2.22 G
Even strength
3 G3.7
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT40%60%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 3.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsNJD
28
Shots on goal
41
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
6
23
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000010.04244—31:58
18T. StützleC000040.690126025:45
85J. SandersonD011030.07040—23:27
12A. DeBrincatR000020.27010—22:24
28C. GirouxR011020.091107522:13
7B. TkachukL000050.790003822:12
24J. Bernard-DockerD000010.05110—21:28
23T. HamonicD101-110.09150—20:10
19D. BathersonR011+110.331105019:47
61D. BrassardC000010.151003316:08
57S. PintoC202030.480105015:34
21M. JosephR000-100.00100—14:04
14T. MotteC000010.06110013:31
5N. HoldenD000-110.05000—12:31
26E. BrannstromD000010.01020—08:56
16A. WatsonL011-100.0041010008:40
47M. KastelicC011-100.001002907:10
45P. KellyC000-110.12000006:06
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(O)41374.9024.04+0.0464:27

Season series

NJD leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).