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Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

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Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 7-0. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Garnet Hathaway's goal at 9:01 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were BOS 25, BUF 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 18 of 25 (.720), 3.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake DeBrusk (1 G, 3 A), 2. Patrice Bergeron (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jeremy Swayman (26 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. DeBrusk1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman26 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS3718310725
BUFBUF01105010026

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.28win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:15
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    9:01
  3. BOS
    C. Coyle (27), C. Clifton (14)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    11:40

2nd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.16win prob +5 pts
    4-0
    7:48

3rd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.21
    5-0
    10:37
  2. BOS
    slapxG 0.08
    6-0
    11:33
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.11
    7-0
    17:59

Penalties

BOS 15 PIM·BUF 13 PIM

1st

  • 9:35BUFKyle Okposo · Roughingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 9:35BOSTomas Nosek · Roughingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
  • 13:05BOSGarnet Hathaway · Slashingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 17:02BOSPatrice Bergeron · Holdingdrawn by Jack Quinn2 min

2nd

  • 9:04BUFRiley Stillman · Interferencedrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 13:26BUFDylan Cozens · Fightingdrawn by Trent Frederic5 min
  • 13:26BOSTrent Frederic · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Cozens5 min
  • 13:37BOSPavel Zacha · Interferencedrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min
  • 18:45BOSJakub Zboril · Slashingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 20:00BUFCasey Mittelstadt · Slashingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

3rd

  • 10:13BUFTage Thompson · Roughingdrawn by Jakub Lauko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Garnet Hathaway, 1st 9:01 — BOS 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.16J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.15J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.15A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.14P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.14J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.14T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.14J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.13C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.13D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.11J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.11J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.11T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.07J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.06T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.06P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.05J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.05T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.04J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.04H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.03P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Quinn · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.01O. Power · Missed · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.01R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF0 G · 2.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
3.27 G
All situations
0 G2.8
2.56 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS59%41%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.25 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
25
Shots on goal
26
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/3
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
13
17
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
4
7
Giveaways
13
12
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27H. LindholmD101+420.27120—22:02
25B. CarloD000+300.00320—19:43
73C. McAvoyD112+210.11110—19:10
48M. GrzelcykD000+210.04020—19:01
75C. CliftonD022+110.05210—18:38
67J. ZborilD011000.00322—18:34
13C. CoyleC112+220.170007517:56
88D. PastrnakR101050.70000—17:50
18P. ZachaC000+100.090027116:29
92T. NosekL000+210.012024115:30
21G. HathawayR101+110.06102—14:53
59T. BertuzziL011+110.34100—14:32
63B. MarchandL022+200.15000—13:21
11T. FredericC011+110.21005013:17
10A. GreerL000+110.15100—13:09
94J. LaukoC000+100.00100012:50
74J. DeBruskL134+440.41100—11:57
37P. BergeronC123+240.500126711:39
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(W)262601.0002.83+2.8359:29

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).