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Bruins at Sabres
NHL

Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres

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Boston Bruins
▸3
Buffalo Sabres
1
FinalTV MSG-B, NESN·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-1. The Sabres scored first; the Bruins answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Zboril's goal at 12:31 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals were close — BOS 3.1, BUF 3.1; shots on goal were BOS 30, BUF 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (2 G), 2. Keith Kinkaid (30 saves, .968), 3. Jakub Zboril (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    K. Kinkaid30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. Zboril1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS05110215330
BUFBUF110011010131

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(11)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.32win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    5:17

2nd period

  1. BOS
    P. Bergeron(6)PPG
    J. DeBrusk (6), B. Marchand (5)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    18:51

3rd period

  1. BOS
    J. Zboril(1)
    T. Nosek (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +36 pts
    2-1
    12:31
  2. BOS
    P. Bergeron(7)
    B. Marchand (6), D. Pastrnak (14)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    18:11

Penalties

BOS 8 PIM·BUF 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:45BUFOwen Power · Cross checkingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 18:30BOSPatrice Bergeron · Holdingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min

2nd

  • 8:54BOSCharlie McAvoy · Slashingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 11:04BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Owen Power2 min
  • 17:43BUFIlya Lyubushkin · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min

3rd

  • 8:25BUFDylan Cozens · Roughingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 8:25BOSConnor Clifton · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 18:11BUFserved by J. Quinn · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalBOS goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Jakub Zboril, 3rd 12:31 — BOS 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.32D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.29V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.18P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.16J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.15J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.13T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.13D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.12J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.12T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.11D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.10P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.09J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.08R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.07V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.05J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.05J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bryson · Missed · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.03L. Pilut · Missed · xG 0.03J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bryson · Missed · xG 0.03O. Power · On goal · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fitzgerald · Missed · xG 0.02L. Pilut · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fitzgerald · On goal · xG 0.00O. Power · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF1 G · 3.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsBUF
3.13 G
All situations
1 G3.1
2.42 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS50%50%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsBUF
30
Shots on goal
31
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
9
12
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27H. LindholmD000010.00020—26:13
73C. McAvoyD000030.23014—21:55
75C. CliftonD000+100.01222—20:01
88D. PastrnakR011030.15000—18:37
25B. CarloD000+210.08110—18:23
48M. GrzelcykD000030.28010—18:13
63B. MarchandL022030.31010—17:43
37P. BergeronC202040.461025817:31
74J. DeBruskL011-110.2221010017:24
71T. HallL000020.21200—16:00
13C. CoyleC000020.240001115:37
46D. KrejciC000-110.110004315:30
18P. ZachaC000020.45100014:25
92T. NosekL011+100.002205013:42
67J. ZborilD101+110.02010—11:36
17N. FolignoL000+110.1010010011:10
11T. FredericC000+110.09100010:24
12C. SmithC000010.09100007:42
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30K. Kinkaid(W)31301.9683.10+2.1059:54

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).