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Sabres at Bruins
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
1
Boston Bruins
▸7
FinalTV MSG-B, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Buffalo Sabres 7-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dmitry Orlov's goal at 12:01 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 54% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 6.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were BUF 27, BOS 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 0.7 goals below expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeremy Swayman (26 saves, .963), 2. David Pastrnak (1 G, 2 A), 3. Dmitry Orlov (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. Swayman26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Orlov1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF0907111127
BOSBOS011216515742

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. BOS
    D. Orlov(6)PPG
    H. Lindholm (34), D. Pastrnak (39)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    12:01
  2. BOS
    J. Lauko(2)
    B. Carlo (9), D. Orlov (20)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    13:27

3rd period

  1. BOS
    P. Zacha(16)
    D. Krejci (35), D. Pastrnak (40)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +4 pts
    0-3
    8:35
  2. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(43)EN
    D. Krejci (36), P. Zacha (27)
    wristxG 0.66
    0-4
    14:44
  3. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(10)
    J. Peterka (13), P. Krebs (11)
    wristxG 0.12
    1-4
    15:40
  4. BOS
    P. Bergeron(22)EN
    D. Orlov (21), B. Carlo (10)
    wristxG 0.49
    1-5
    16:39
  5. BOS
    C. Clifton(5)SHG
    G. Hathaway (9), C. Coyle (21)
    wristxG 0.13
    1-6
    17:03
  6. BOS
    J. Lauko(3)
    C. Coyle (22), M. Grzelcyk (18)
    snapxG 0.22
    1-7
    19:08

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 18:54BOSConnor Clifton · Interferencedrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

2nd

  • 5:31BUFKyle Okposo · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 9:59BOSBrad Marchand · High stickingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 9:59BUFPeyton Krebs · High stickingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 10:35BUFUkko-Pekka Luukkonen · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

3rd

  • 4:32BOSBrandon Carlo · Cross checkingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min
  • 10:50BUFZemgus Girgensons · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 16:09BOSTomas Nosek · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalBUF goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Dmitry Orlov, 2nd 12:01 — BOS 54% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.75D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.66P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.49P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.24C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.22J. Lauko · Goal · xG 0.22P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.20A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.18J. Lauko · Goal · xG 0.17P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.15B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.15P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.14C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.14D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.14P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.14A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.13C. Clifton · Goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.13P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.13D. Orlov · Goal · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.11J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.11T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.10A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.09D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.09D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.08C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.08B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.08B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.08T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.08C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.06T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.00P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS7 G · 6.2 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsBOS
2.21 G
All situations
5 G6.2
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF20%80%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 4.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsBOS
27
Shots on goal
42
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
27
8
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25O. PowerD000-220.04200—24:18
10H. JokiharjuD000-220.06310—21:18
23M. SamuelssonD000-120.07100—20:40
19P. KrebsC011-210.020026318:55
61R. StillmanD000-100.04620—18:24
77J. PeterkaR011030.3000010016:19
24D. CozensC000-300.020107915:45
72T. ThompsonC000-310.090004315:31
46I. LyubushkinD000-110.01110—15:12
53J. SkinnerL000-310.260001715:09
21K. OkposoR000030.050025014:55
78J. BrysonD000000.00210—14:45
37C. MittelstadtC101-320.3210010014:29
28Z. GirgensonsC000020.142125014:16
71V. OlofssonL000-220.31100—14:16
17T. JostC000010.151005014:12
22J. QuinnR000-230.28200—14:00
29V. HinostrozaC000-210.02010011:12
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(L)40355.8754.30-0.7058:58

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).