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Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken

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Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Seattle Kraken 6-4. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 7:28 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 23, SEA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.9 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 10 of 13 (.769), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evander Kane (3 G), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jaden Schwartz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    E. Kane3 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. Schwartz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM292727623
SEASEA11421518437

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman (44), D. Nurse (29)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:35
  2. SEA
    V. Dunn (44), M. Beniers (30)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    6:34
  3. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    16:36

2nd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    0:43
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    4:07
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    7:28
  4. SEA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    4-3
    14:18

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    5-3
    10:20
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(58)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    16:10
  3. SEA
    snapxG 0.18
    6-4
    19:12

Penalties

EDM 11 PIM·SEA 13 PIM

1st

  • 1:58EDMMattias Janmark · Holdingdrawn by John Hayden2 min
  • 4:11SEAJustin Schultz · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

2nd

  • 12:15EDMKlim Kostin · Fightingdrawn by John Hayden5 min
  • 12:15SEAJohn Hayden · Fightingdrawn by Klim Kostin5 min

3rd

  • 5:03SEAserved by R. Donato · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:12EDMMattias Janmark · Hookingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 13:25EDMVincent Desharnais · Slashingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 13:25SEAJared McCann · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
  • 14:50SEAJamie Oleksiak · Hookingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalEDM goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 2nd 7:28 — EDM 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.21E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.18J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.17J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.16V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.14V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.13M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.13E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.12O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.12J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.10A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.08J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.00J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA4 G · 3.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSEA
2.66 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.85 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM41%59%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSEA
23
Shots on goal
37
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/3
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
13
16
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
8
3
Giveaways
2
14
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD011+100.15010—24:59
29L. DraisaitlC033020.283005022:08
97C. McDavidC123+210.181004121:04
5C. CeciD000-100.00330—19:52
14M. EkholmD033010.01320—19:51
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011+110.250105019:24
91E. KaneL303+230.51000—19:17
2E. BouchardD000+110.03120—18:23
18Z. HymanL112+210.1510010017:42
27B. KulakD011+140.03100—17:42
73V. DesharnaisD000000.01002—16:00
72N. BjugstadC000-110.020006715:23
56K. YamamotoR101030.38010—14:04
37W. FoegeleL000-210.03000—11:31
26M. JanmarkC000010.07014010:34
10D. RyanC000020.350002010:21
19D. ShoreC000010.100006708:50
21K. KostinC000-100.00305006:55
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)37334.8923.09-0.9160:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).