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Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV ROOT-NW, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Kraken came back from two goals down. The Kraken led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yanni Gourde's goal at 12:42 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 4.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were SEA 24, EDM 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jaden Schwartz (1 G, 2 A), 2. Matty Beniers (1 G, 1 A), 3. Yanni Gourde (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    J. Schwartz1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    M. Beniers1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    Y. Gourde1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA0941114524
EDMEDM11414014232

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.05win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    12:47

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:48
  2. SEA
    M. Beniers(12)PPG
    batxG 0.35win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    4:44
  3. SEA
    backhandxG 0.43win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    5:15
  4. SEA
    snapxG 0.18win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    12:42
  5. SEA
    wristxG 0.27win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    15:48

3rd period

  1. SEA
    backhandxG 0.90win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    17:29

Penalties

SEA 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:08SEADaniel Sprong · Trippingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min

2nd

  • 4:21EDMEvan Bouchard · Interferencedrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min

3rd

  • 0:52SEAJamie Oleksiak · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 6:53EDMDylan Holloway · High sticking double minordrawn by Yanni Gourde4 min
  • 18:24SEARyan Donato · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSEA goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Yanni Gourde, 2nd 12:42 — SEA 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.54C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.36C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.27C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.15J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.06D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.00M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.00D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.00E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 2.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsEDM
4.44 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.13 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.91 G
Power play
1 G1.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA52%48%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsEDM
24
Shots on goal
32
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
38
Hits
31
18
Blocked shots
9
3
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD011+320.04240—24:35
29V. DunnD000+310.20310—23:05
10M. BeniersC112+110.41420719:07
7J. EberleR000010.66110—18:15
21A. WennbergC112+310.900204118:13
95A. BurakovskyL000010.05110—18:05
28C. SoucyD000-100.00220—17:57
17J. SchwartzL123+230.51300—17:56
24J. OleksiakD000+120.04612—17:31
4J. SchultzD022+110.11100—16:48
37Y. GourdeC101010.281006516:44
3W. BorgenD000-100.00300—15:25
22O. BjorkstrandR000020.172005014:57
20E. TolvanenR011+120.05200—13:02
19J. McCannL101+220.36310—12:53
13B. TanevL011+110.17110—12:34
91D. SprongR011030.42122—11:16
9R. DonatoC000000.002025007:31
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Jones(W)32302.9382.92+0.9259:51

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).