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Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken

FinalTV TVAS, SNW·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Seattle Kraken 7-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Klim Kostin's goal at 3:16 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.5, SEA 2.3; shots on goal were EDM 32, SEA 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 36 of 38 (.947); Martin Jones stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 4 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (4 A), 3. Zach Hyman (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 4 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins4 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM41621016732
SEASEA08215015238

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(16)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.29win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    2:44
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    3:16
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    3:55
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid (39), Z. Hyman (23)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +7 pts
    4-0
    9:58

2nd period

  1. SEA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    1:50
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    5-1
    5:33
  3. EDM
    Z. Hyman(17)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    6-1
    6:35
  4. SEA
    A. Larsson (11), V. Dunn (15)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    6-2
    7:33

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17
    7-2
    10:43

Penalties

EDM 13 PIM·SEA 11 PIM

1st

  • 2:01SEACarson Soucy · Trippingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 13:17EDMKlim Kostin · Cross checkingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

2nd

  • 1:31SEAVince Dunn · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Holloway5 min
  • 1:31EDMDylan Holloway · Fightingdrawn by Vince Dunn5 min
  • 5:57SEAAlexander Wennberg · Holdingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 10:00EDMDarnell Nurse · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

3rd

  • 7:36EDMKlim Kostin · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 7:36EDMKlim Kostin · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 7:36SEAJamie Oleksiak · Roughingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalEDM goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Klim Kostin, 1st 3:16 — EDM 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.20O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.14A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.13B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.13B. Tanev · Goal · xG 0.11J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.08V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.08J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.07V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.06A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.05A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.04M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.04M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.03J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.03J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.00J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA2 G · 2.3 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSEA
2.57 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.85 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.42 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM54%46%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSEA
32
Shots on goal
38
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/2
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
11
13
Hits
29
20
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
10
15
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD112+440.28212—23:40
27B. KulakD000010.02240—23:25
5C. CeciD000+430.05020—19:42
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC044+200.070104719:07
22T. BarrieD000020.04020—19:00
26M. JanmarkC011+110.09010018:33
56K. YamamotoR011010.23010—18:12
2E. BouchardD000-100.01110—18:09
97C. McDavidC145+330.530205016:01
80M. NiemelainenD000-130.03020—14:53
18Z. HymanL213+320.39100—14:48
71R. McLeodC000-110.050002914:39
13J. PuljujarviR101+250.14210—13:54
37W. FoegeleL000-110.0920010013:42
55D. HollowayL000-100.00115—12:42
21K. KostinC202+240.34206012:23
10D. RyanC000000.080105010:37
57J. HamblinL000-110.090007510:33
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)38362.9472.33+0.3360:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).