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Jets at Predators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
Nashville Predators
2
Final/OTTV BSSO, TSN3·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Nashville Predators 3-2 in overtime, Neal Pionk scoring at 0:55. The Predators scored first; the Jets answered. The Predators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Neal Pionk's goal at 0:55 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.8 to 1.2; shots on goal were WPG 34, NSH 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Neal Pionk (1 G), 2. Juuse Saros (31 saves, .912), 3. Josh Morrissey (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Pionk1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros31 saves, .912
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG0130921111334
NSHNSH15081601220

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    C. Glass(10)
    P. Tomasino (8), C. Foote (4)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:26

3rd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(8)
    J. Morrissey (53), M. Scheifele (23)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +27 pts
    1-1
    6:17
  2. NSH
    L. Evangelista(3)
    T. Novak (17), T. Barrie (35)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +28 pts
    1-2
    6:51
  3. WPG
    A. Lowry(9)
    J. Morrissey (54), V. Namestnikov (13)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    10:15

Overtime

  1. WPG
    N. Pionk(9)
    P. Dubois (32), N. Ehlers (22)
    wristxG 0.50win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    0:55

Penalties

WPG 7 PIM·NSH 23 PIM

1st

  • 8:21NSHCal Foote · Instigatordrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 8:21NSHCal Foote · Fightingdrawn by Brenden Dillon5 min
  • 8:21NSHCal Foote · Misconduct10 min
  • 8:21WPGBrenden Dillon · Fightingdrawn by Cal Foote5 min
  • 14:11WPGBlake Wheeler · Cross checkingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 16:03NSHKiefer Sherwood · Holdingdrawn by Morgan Barron2 min

2nd

  • 7:57NSHDante Fabbro · Cross checkingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

3rd

  • 7:59NSHYakov Trenin · Hookingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWPG goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Neal Pionk, OT 0:55 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Evangelista · Goal · xG 0.14T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.10C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.09C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.08J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.08K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.07P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.07T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.05C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04C. Foote · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.02K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01C. Foote · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01E. Afanasyev · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 1.2 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNSH
2.83 G
All situations
2 G1.2
2.13 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG81%19%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 1.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNSH
34
Shots on goal
20
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/4
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
23
36
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
18
14
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD022+220.17010—29:06
2D. DeMeloD000030.08010—21:10
55M. ScheifeleC011030.392005320:10
62N. NiederreiterR000040.1510010019:36
81K. ConnorL000-120.14110—19:05
88N. SchmidtD000+120.23220—18:32
26B. WheelerR000020.103224018:02
4N. PionkD101-110.50210—18:01
80P. DuboisC011+120.160003617:58
27N. EhlersL112+230.17400—17:21
5B. DillonD000-100.01315—16:59
7V. NamestnikovC011040.29530016:57
22M. AppletonC000000.01300014:36
17A. LowryC101010.223008014:33
54D. SambergD000000.00110—12:17
36M. BarronC000020.10500009:24
28K. StenlundC000010.031105009:18
8S. MaenalanenR000020.03000—07:40
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)20182.9001.16-0.8460:55

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).