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Predators at Jets
NHL

Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Winnipeg Jets
▸2
Final/OTTV BSSO, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Nashville Predators 2-1 in overtime, Kyle Connor scoring at 3:31. The Predators scored first; the Jets answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 3:31 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were NSH 26, WPG 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (39 saves, .951), 2. Dylan DeMelo (1 G), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros39 saves, .951
  2. ★★
    WPG
    D. DeMelo1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH160801101126
WPGWPG11001901012241

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(9)
    M. Granlund (15), M. Duchene (16)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:04
  2. WPG
    D. DeMelo(1)
    K. Connor (20), J. Morrissey (28)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    15:24

Overtime

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(12)
    A. Lowry (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    3:31

Penalties

NSH 17 PIM·WPG 15 PIM

1st

  • 14:16WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 14:16NSHRoman Josi · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 17:07WPGAdam Lowry · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min
  • 17:07NSHTanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Adam Lowry5 min

2nd

  • 8:15NSHCole Smith · Interferencedrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 11:00NSHRyan Johansen · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 14:11WPGJansen Harkins · High sticking double minordrawn by Filip Forsberg4 min
  • 17:50NSHFilip Forsberg · Holdingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

3rd

  • 5:25NSHRoland McKeown · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:47WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Roland McKeown2 min
  • 7:47WPGBlake Wheeler · Roughingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 7:47NSHRoland McKeown · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNSH goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, OT 3:31 — WPG 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.21K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.19P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.19J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.19M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.15D. DeMelo · Goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.14B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.13K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.12K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.12S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.10C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.10J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.08M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.08P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.07K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.07B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.03M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 4.3 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsWPG
2.11 G
All situations
2 G4.3
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH18%82%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 4.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsWPG
26
Shots on goal
41
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
0/4
17
Penalty minutes
15
25
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000+140.40032—27:43
14M. EkholmD000-120.05340—23:04
46J. GrossD000010.02100—19:52
57D. FabbroD000000.00230—19:26
64M. GranlundC011010.162007818:16
95M. DucheneC011-120.081002517:26
9F. ForsbergL101+150.43202—17:09
92R. JohansenC000-100.080024416:26
22N. NiederreiterR000020.39110—16:24
13Y. TreninC000020.10300016:21
5K. GravelD000-100.00100—16:12
55R. McKeownD000000.00114—14:50
10C. SissonsC000010.031104314:25
8C. GlassC000030.292004014:23
84T. JeannotL000000.00405—12:35
75J. ParssinenC000000.000105712:29
17M. JankowskiL000000.000108311:54
36C. SmithR000030.05112—11:38
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(O)41392.9514.27+2.2763:31

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).