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Jets at Predators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
Nashville Predators
▸2
FinalTV BSSO, TSN3·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Winnipeg Jets 2-1. The Jets scored first; the Predators answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Jeannot's goal at 5:38 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were WPG 33, NSH 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tanner Jeannot (1 G), 2. Cody Glass (1 G), 3. Juuse Saros (32 saves, .970).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    T. Jeannot1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    C. Glass1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros32 saves, .970

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11505013133
NSHNSH013118110241

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    P. Dubois(21)
    C. Perfetti (22), D. DeMelo (14)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:48

2nd period

  1. NSH
    C. Glass(6)
    R. Josi (28), F. Forsberg (22)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:49

3rd period

  1. NSH
    T. Jeannot(4)
    T. Novak (6)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +27 pts
    1-2
    5:38

Penalties

WPG 11 PIM·NSH 13 PIM

1st

  • 1:15WPGLogan Stanley · Fightingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier5 min
  • 1:15NSHAlexandre Carrier · Fightingdrawn by Logan Stanley5 min

2nd

  • 3:16NSHMattias Ekholm · Delaying game2 min
  • 15:41WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 19:03NSHJeremy Lauzon · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

3rd

  • 9:40WPGKyle Connor · Holdingdrawn by Juuso Parssinen2 min
  • 19:54NSHYakov Trenin · Cross checkingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 20:00WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 20:00NSHJeremy Lauzon · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWPG goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Tanner Jeannot, 3rd 5:38 — NSH 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.20M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.18N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.16T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.16Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.14R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.14C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.13C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.12C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.12T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.11Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.10D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.10C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.10T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.09C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.09M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.08R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.08C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.07R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.07C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.07R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.07T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.05C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jeannot · Goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH2 G · 3.5 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNSH
3.11 G
All situations
2 G3.5
2.41 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG44%56%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.10 – 3.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNSH
33
Shots on goal
41
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
13
19
Hits
29
11
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000020.44220—26:26
81K. ConnorL000+140.55002—22:15
80P. DuboisC101+170.290023621:46
4N. PionkD000-110.03520—21:17
55M. ScheifeleC000010.350004720:38
2D. DeMeloD011000.00120—18:27
27N. EhlersL000020.29000—18:04
88N. SchmidtD000000.00000—17:40
5B. DillonD000-110.02210—17:32
91C. PerfettiC011+110.09110017:08
26B. WheelerR000010.1200210016:21
36M. BarronC000010.19210014:32
17A. LowryC000040.342004514:20
64L. StanleyD000020.08215—12:49
20K. KuhlmanC000020.02010011:54
8S. MaenalanenR000-200.12000—09:31
28K. StenlundC000-230.130007809:05
71A. Jonsson-FjallbyL000-210.08200—08:19
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)41392.9513.50+1.5057:56

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).