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Oilers at Predators
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
Nashville Predators
3
FinalTV BSSO, SNW·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Nashville Predators 6-3. The Predators scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 4:19 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 64% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.8 to 3.3; shots on goal were EDM 37, NSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Kevin Lankinen stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 3 A), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 3 A), 3. Zach Hyman (3 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman3 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM314211112637
NSHNSH17211014332

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    C. Glass(2)
    R. Josi (16), C. Sissons (5)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:15
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(11)
    E. Bouchard (9), C. McDavid (31)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:19
  3. EDM
    Z. Hyman(12)
    L. Draisaitl (28), C. McDavid (32)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    14:50
  4. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(20)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (20), T. Barrie (16)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    19:55

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Johansen(8)
    F. Forsberg (16), M. Jankowski (3)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    3:22
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(21)
    Z. Hyman (20), C. McDavid (33)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    4:19
  3. NSH
    D. Fabbro(1)
    Y. Trenin (4), R. Josi (17)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    4-3
    9:53
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid(26)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (29), T. Barrie (17)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    5-3
    18:55

3rd period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(13)EN
    L. Draisaitl (30), C. Ceci (5)
    pokexG 0.69win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    17:23

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:52EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Hookingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 18:58NSHTanner Jeannot · Roughingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

2nd

  • 7:06EDMDylan Holloway · Interferencedrawn by Roland McKeown2 min
  • 11:55EDMDarnell Nurse · Holdingdrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 13:12EDMDerek Ryan · Holdingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 18:35NSHRoland McKeown · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

3rd

  • 3:49EDMBrad Malone · High stickingdrawn by Dante Fabbro2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalEDM goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, 2nd 4:19 — EDM 64% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.26N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.17M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.17Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.16D. Fabbro · Goal · xG 0.15J. Gross · Missed · xG 0.15M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.15R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.12F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.12J. Gross · Missed · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.10J. Gross · On goal · xG 0.10N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.10R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.10R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.10C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.09R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.06M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.05D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.04J. Gross · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gross · On goal · xG 0.03J. Parssinen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gross · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gross · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Gravel · Missed · xG 0.02K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.01C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.01D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.01J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gross · Missed · xG 0.01R. McKeown · Missed · xG 0.01J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 3.3 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsNSH
3.85 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.23 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.62 G
Power play
0 G1.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM48%52%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsNSH
37
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/2
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
31
15
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+230.15232—25:53
5C. CeciD011+110.02220—24:11
27B. KulakD000-220.03120—22:42
22T. BarrieD022010.03000—20:19
29L. DraisaitlC235+250.400106418:38
18Z. HymanL314+361.67100—18:31
97C. McDavidC134+360.800004618:31
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011-120.160025518:25
56K. YamamotoR000-110.03500—16:44
26M. JanmarkC000-110.01000016:06
10D. RyanC000020.192124313:47
86P. BrobergD000+110.06020—13:08
2E. BouchardD011030.07020—13:05
14D. ShoreC000010.121102212:55
13J. PuljujarviR000010.01110—10:36
21K. KostinC000000.00400009:48
55D. HollowayL000-110.0430210009:28
24B. MaloneC000-100.001024007:23
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(W)32293.9063.28+0.2859:50

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).