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Predators at Oilers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
4
Edmonton Oilers
▸7
FinalTV BSSO, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Nashville Predators 7-4. The Predators scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 7:51 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were NSH 23, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 30 of 36 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected; Jack Campbell stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 4 A), 2. Connor McDavid (2 G, 2 A), 3. Evander Kane (3 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 4 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    E. Kane3 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH181827423
EDMEDM41411429737

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. Ekholm(1)
    M. Duchene (6), M. Granlund (7)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:34
  2. EDM
    E. Kane(3)
    L. Draisaitl (13), D. Nurse (4)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:14
  3. EDM
    E. Kane(4)
    L. Draisaitl (14), K. Yamamoto (3)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    7:25
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid(10)
    Z. Hyman (6), E. Bouchard (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    7:51
  5. EDM
    D. Ryan(1)
    T. Barrie (4), D. Shore (1)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    1-4
    14:58

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(11)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (15)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    7:26
  2. NSH
    R. Johansen(4)PPG
    R. Josi (4), F. Forsberg (6)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    9:28

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(3)
    M. Duchene (7), M. Granlund (8)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    4:51
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(5)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (7), C. McDavid (10)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +3 pts
    3-6
    8:55
  3. NSH
    N. Niederreiter(5)PPG
    R. Josi (5), F. Forsberg (7)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    4-6
    17:10
  4. EDM
    E. Kane(5)EN
    L. Draisaitl (16), C. McDavid (11)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +1 pts
    4-7
    18:23

Penalties

NSH 17 PIM·EDM 9 PIM

1st

  • 10:21NSHKiefer Sherwood · Cross checkingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

2nd

  • 2:26NSHAlexandre Carrier · Interferencedrawn by Markus Niemelainen2 min
  • 6:35NSHKiefer Sherwood · Trippingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 8:44EDMBrett Kulak · Slashingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 10:49NSHMichael McCarron · Roughingdrawn by Markus Niemelainen2 min

3rd

  • 7:36NSHMattias Ekholm · Roughingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 16:55EDMTyson Barrie · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 19:26EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Fightingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood5 min
  • 19:26NSHKiefer Sherwood · Fightingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi5 min
  • 19:37NSHMichael McCarron · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalNSH goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 1st 7:51 — EDM 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.90E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.22Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.22L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.18C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.14T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.14R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.13J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.06T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.06M. Niemelainen · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.03M. Niemelainen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02M. Niemelainen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niemelainen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01
EDM7 G · 5.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsEDM
2.44 G
All situations
6 G5.0
1.72 G
Even strength
4 G2.7
0.62 G
Power play
2 G1.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH25%75%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 4.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsEDM
23
Shots on goal
37
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/2
Power play
2/6
17
Penalty minutes
9
60
Hits
27
24
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
16
11
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD022-130.11140—24:25
14M. EkholmD101050.52612—19:34
45A. CarrierD000000.00352—19:34
3J. LauzonD000-200.02420—19:21
27R. McDonaghD000-220.07230—18:37
64M. GranlundC022-120.603003618:24
95M. DucheneC022-120.1900010017:21
9F. ForsbergL123-120.38400—17:13
84T. JeannotL000000.00350—16:58
57D. FabbroD000010.03200—16:57
10C. SissonsC000010.086004816:30
22N. NiederreiterR101-220.20700—15:39
92R. JohansenC101-210.141206115:25
13Y. TreninC000020.05200015:06
47M. McCarronC000-100.003142910:50
28E. TolvanenR000-100.00400—10:47
36C. SmithR000-100.08710—10:38
44K. SherwoodL000-100.00209—09:18
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)36306.8334.09-1.9158:50

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).