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Flames at Oilers
NHL

Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV ESPN2, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Calgary Flames 4-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evander Kane's goal at 6:58 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 70% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.8 to 3.0; shots on goal were CGY 33, EDM 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.9 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Evander Kane (3 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (4 A), 3. Connor McDavid (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    E. Kane3 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl4 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY07012114133
EDMEDM02141307441

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(6)
    L. Draisaitl (9), C. McDavid (15)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    0:52
  2. EDM
    E. Kane(8)
    L. Draisaitl (10)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    6:58
  3. EDM
    E. Kane(9)
    C. McDavid (16), L. Draisaitl (11)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    7:51
  4. EDM
    E. Kane(10)
    C. McDavid (17), L. Draisaitl (12)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    12:58

3rd period

  1. CGY
    O. Kylington(1)
    C. Jarnkrok (3), D. Dube (1)
    snapxG 0.07
    1-4
    15:09

Penalties

CGY 27 PIM·EDM 16 PIM

1st

  • 10:35CGYTrevor Lewis · Hookingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 13:07EDMLeon Draisaitl · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 18:48CGYElias Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

2nd

  • 3:52CGYTrevor Lewis · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 10:42EDMEvander Kane · Trippingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min

3rd

  • 3:02EDMBrett Kulak · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 8:35CGYTrevor Lewis · Roughingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
  • 8:35CGYNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 8:35CGYMilan Lucic · Chargingdrawn by Mike Smith5 min
  • 8:35CGYMilan Lucic · Game misconduct10 min
  • 8:35EDMTyson Barrie · Roughingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min
  • 8:35EDMZack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 8:35CGYBrett Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 8:35EDMBrett Kulak · Roughingdrawn by Brett Ritchie2 min
  • 11:11EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Michael Stone2 min
  • 17:44EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Hookingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCGY goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Evander Kane, 2nd 6:58 — EDM 70% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.28E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.22Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.19L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.14R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.11W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.10J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.10R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.09E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.06R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.05B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.05K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.05B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.04J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.02D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01
EDM4 G · 3.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsEDM
3.01 G
All situations
4 G3.8
1.81 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
1.20 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY37%63%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.95 – 3.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsEDM
33
Shots on goal
41
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
0/5
27
Penalty minutes
16
36
Hits
38
6
Blocked shots
18
12
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000-110.08310—23:26
55N. HanifinD000-110.02120—22:16
28E. LindholmC000-320.111024319:41
11M. BacklundC000030.261006519:01
26M. StoneD000020.02110—19:00
44E. GudbransonD000-200.00100—18:50
13J. GaudreauL000-240.30000—18:06
19M. TkachukL000-260.84200—17:48
16N. ZadorovD000-120.05202—16:42
58O. KylingtonD101-110.07020—15:34
88A. MangiapaneL000010.22300—15:30
73T. ToffoliC000020.12000014:36
29D. DubeC011020.31600014:34
91C. JarnkrokC011-100.000006013:27
22T. LewisC000010.286065712:10
20B. ColemanL000+120.1940010011:58
24B. RitchieR000-130.16302—08:45
17M. LucicL000-100.002015—07:47
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)34304.8823.08-0.9239:53
80D. Vladar7701.0000.71+0.7119:56

Series

EDM leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).