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Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
6
Calgary Flames
▸9
FinalTV ESPN, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Edmonton Oilers 9-6. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 6-5 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Andersson's goal at 2:57 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were EDM 28, CGY 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 2.2 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 4.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (3 G), 2. Rasmus Andersson (1 G, 2 A), 3. Blake Coleman (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk3 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    B. Coleman2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM17411110628
CGYCGY31932138948

Scoring

15 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(4)
    R. Andersson (2), J. Gaudreau (7)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:26
  2. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(2)
    M. Backlund (2)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    0:51
  3. CGY
    B. Ritchie(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    6:05
  4. EDM
    C. McDavid(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    7:41

2nd period

  1. CGY
    B. Coleman(1)
    A. Mangiapane (2), R. Andersson (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    0:45
  2. CGY
    B. Coleman(2)
    N. Hanifin (2), T. Lewis (2)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    1-5
    6:10
  3. EDM
    E. Bouchard(1)
    C. McDavid (11), L. Draisaitl (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    7:10
  4. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(2)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (8), T. Toffoli (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    2-6
    8:24
  5. EDM
    Z. Hyman(3)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    3-6
    9:38
  6. EDM
    Z. Hyman(4)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (5), K. Yamamoto (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    4-6
    14:06
  7. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(6)
    C. McDavid (12)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    5-6
    19:21

3rd period

  1. EDM
    K. Yamamoto(2)
    C. McDavid (13), L. Draisaitl (6)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +24 pts
    6-6
    1:28
  2. CGY
    R. Andersson(2)
    A. Mangiapane (3), C. Jarnkrok (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +25 pts
    6-7
    2:57
  3. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    6-8
    8:55
  4. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(4)EN
    E. Lindholm (3), J. Gaudreau (9)
    wristxG 0.57
    6-9
    17:49

Penalties

EDM 12 PIM·CGY 16 PIM

1st

  • 3:11EDMTyson Barrie · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 9:52CGYMikael Backlund · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 14:09EDMDuncan Keith · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 16:53CGYMilan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

2nd

  • 7:10EDMZack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

3rd

  • 4:44CGYOliver Kylington · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 4:44EDMEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 4:44CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 10:45CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 20:00CGYMilan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 20:00CGYMikael Backlund · Roughingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 20:00CGYMilan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Zack Kassian2 min
  • 20:00EDMZack Kassian · Roughingdrawn by Milan Lucic2 min
  • 20:00EDMJosh Archibald · Roughingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Andersson, 3rd 2:57 — CGY 53% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.57A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.26A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.20M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.20C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.19D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.18C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.15J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.14J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.14M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.10M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.10M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.09A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.09R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.09D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.09B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.06B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.05E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.04D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.00N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.00
CGY9 G · 4.4 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
2.06 G
All situations
8 G4.4
1.56 G
Even strength
7 G2.8
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM23%77%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 3.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
48
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/4
Power play
1/3
12
Penalty minutes
16
23
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
9
20
Giveaways
8
13
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC134-150.515003625:33
29L. DraisaitlC123-240.370007521:59
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC022-110.110003620:24
22T. BarrieD000010.03112—19:59
91E. KaneL000000.03412—19:56
18Z. HymanL202030.25200—19:50
5C. CeciD000-330.07020—19:00
25D. NurseD000-310.00020—18:08
75E. BouchardD101+120.06120—18:05
2D. KeithD000020.10002—17:04
27B. KulakD000+210.03100—16:35
56K. YamamotoR112-110.19300—14:16
71R. McLeodC000010.080104714:08
10D. RyanC000-110.120105713:34
13J. PuljujarviR000-110.06210—11:38
44Z. KassianR000+100.00004—11:35
15J. ArchibaldR000-210.02402—08:30
6K. RussellD000000.00030—05:20
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)37325.8652.76-2.2453:07
41M. Smith1073.7001.03-1.9706:05

Series

EDM leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).