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Lightning at Panthers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
Florida Panthers
1
FinalTV TNT, CBC·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Florida Panthers 4-1. The Panthers scored first; the Lightning answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Edouard Bellemare's goal at 3:35 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.2 to 3.5; shots on goal were TBL 36, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 32 of 36 (.889). Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (33 saves, .971), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Corey Perry (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    C. Perry1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL08110318436
FLAFLA111013010134

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Duclair(1)
    J. Huberdeau (3), B. Montour (3)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:01

2nd period

  1. TBL
    C. Perry(3)PPG
    N. Kucherov (7)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    16:22

3rd period

  1. TBL
    P. Bellemare(2)
    C. Perry (1), P. Maroon (1)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    3:35
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(3)PPG
    V. Hedman (6), S. Stamkos (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    3-1
    15:54
  3. TBL
    R. Colton(4)PPG
    N. Paul (3), M. Sergachev (3)
    snapxG 0.10
    4-1
    17:44

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·FLA 14 PIM

1st

  • 0:27FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 7:30FLAAnthony Duclair · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

2nd

  • 0:59TBLRyan McDonagh · Holding the stickdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 10:13TBLRoss Colton · Cross checkingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 10:13FLABen Chiarot · Cross checkingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 11:57TBLNick Paul · Hookingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 16:01FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 18:56FLABrandon Montour · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

3rd

  • 11:16TBLRyan McDonagh · Interferencedrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 15:09FLAGustav Forsling · Roughingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 15:54FLAserved by P. Hornqvist · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTBL goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Edouard Bellemare, 3rd 3:35 — TBL 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.23S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.22C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.19C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.18C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.15B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.15J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.13P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.12B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.10C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.09E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.09S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.05G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.05R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA1 G · 3.5 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsFLA
4.24 G
All situations
1 G3.5
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
1.93 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL50%50%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.53 – 3.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsFLA
36
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
3/6
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
14
30
Hits
30
16
Blocked shots
11
16
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011030.23200—26:48
98M. SergachevD011010.05220—22:53
27R. McDonaghD000000.00044—22:22
86N. KucherovR112020.18300—22:20
20N. PaulL011-140.251026120:02
18O. PalatL000-130.09400—19:10
91S. StamkosC011050.450004218:21
71A. CirelliC000000.002103017:48
17A. KillornL000-130.32030—17:17
10C. PerryR112+140.92110—15:59
79R. ColtonC101050.283026713:07
41P. BellemareL101+120.283205012:56
38B. HagelL000021.00000—12:09
44J. RuttaD000-100.00110—11:32
14P. MaroonL011+110.11400—10:56
81E. CernakD000010.03110—10:25
24Z. BogosianD000000.00300—10:22
52C. FooteD000+100.00010—07:33
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)34331.9713.54+2.5460:00

Series

TBL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).