Skip to content
Senators at Flyers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Philadelphia Flyers
2
FinalTV NBCSP, TSN5·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Tkachuk's goal at 16:38 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 54% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.7 to 3.3; shots on goal were OTT 36, PHI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 1 A), 2. Owen Tippett (1 G, 1 A), 3. James van Riemsdyk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    O. Tippett1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT011113312436
PHIPHI11106117234

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(24)PPG
    O. Tippett (11), I. Provorov (21)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    18:31

2nd period

  1. OTT
    J. Norris(35)
    B. Tkachuk (37)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    11:51

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Hamonic(4)
    A. Formenton (14), T. Chabot (29)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +25 pts
    2-1
    1:56
  2. PHI
    O. Tippett(10)PPG
    I. Provorov (22), M. Frost (11)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +33 pts
    2-2
    12:33
  3. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(30)PPG
    T. Stützle (36), T. Chabot (30)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +38 pts
    3-2
    16:38
  4. OTT
    A. Watson(10)EN
    T. Chabot (31), D. Gambrell (4)
    wristxG 0.51win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:15

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:55PHITravis Sanheim · Holdingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 18:03OTTMark Kastelic · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

2nd

  • 4:12PHIZack MacEwen · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Anton Forsberg2 min
  • 7:30PHIEgor Zamula · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 10:38OTTErik Brannstrom · Holdingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 11:44OTTAustin Watson · Slashingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 15:13PHILinus Hogberg · Hookingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalOTT goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Brady Tkachuk, 3rd 16:38 — OTT 54% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.25K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.17O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.16T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.15J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.15K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.14B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.14T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.14K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.12S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.12N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.12J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.11N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.10J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.10T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.08R. Attard · Missed · xG 0.08R. Attard · On goal · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.06Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.05B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hogberg · On goal · xG 0.02Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.02R. Attard · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01R. Attard · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPHI
3.73 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.72 G
Even strength
0 G2.1
1.11 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT44%56%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 3.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPHI
36
Shots on goal
34
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
15
11
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD033+200.36020—23:46
19D. BathersonR000+120.23010—22:33
7B. TkachukL112+190.743003821:59
18T. StützleC011040.331103820:49
26E. BrannstromD000+110.03122—20:35
9J. NorrisC101+220.491005019:04
2A. ZubD000+110.02200—18:00
23T. HamonicD101+230.04320—17:53
27D. GambrellC011+100.000105017:18
22N. ZaitsevD000020.07110—16:56
10A. FormentonL011+130.14100—15:59
5N. HoldenD000010.02100—15:50
45P. KellyC000+120.15210014:21
16A. WatsonL101+110.51502—13:30
42V. LodinC000030.21000010:25
17A. GaudetteR000+100.071005010:11
71C. TierneyC000010.19000008:50
47M. KastelicC000010.164023308:04
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(W)34322.9413.28+1.2859:34

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).