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Senators at Flyers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
3
Philadelphia Flyers
▸4
Final/OTTV NHLN, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in overtime, Travis Sanheim scoring at 1:35. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Sanheim's goal at 1:35 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.5, PHI 2.7; shots on goal were OTT 31, PHI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.3 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Sanheim (1 G), 2. Oskar Lindblom (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Formenton (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Sanheim1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    O. Lindblom1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    A. Formenton1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT0721411000331
PHIPHI2140161612438

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    C. Giroux(11)
    O. Lindblom (3)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:19
  2. PHI
    O. Lindblom(3)
    T. Konecny (11), I. Provorov (9)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:32

2nd period

  1. OTT
    T. Stützle(5)
    A. Formenton (4), C. Brown (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:09
  2. OTT
    A. Formenton(6)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    3:22

3rd period

  1. OTT
    A. Zub(2)
    D. Gambrell (2), Z. Sanford (2)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +38 pts
    3-2
    13:43
  2. PHI
    J. Farabee(8)
    S. Couturier (11), T. Konecny (12)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    14:35

Overtime

  1. PHI
    T. Sanheim(2)
    C. Atkinson (8)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    1:35

Penalties

OTT 11 PIM·PHI 9 PIM

1st

  • 13:40PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 13:40OTTAustin Watson · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min

2nd

  • 2:42OTTDrake Batherson · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 6:59PHIJustin Braun · Hookingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 10:38OTTDillon Heatherington · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
  • 10:38PHIZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Dillon Heatherington5 min
  • 16:45OTTJacob Bernard-Docker · Holdingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalOTT goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Sanheim, OT 1:35 — PHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.26J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.20T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.18C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.13S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.12C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.12Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.10T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.10R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.08J. Cates · On goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.06O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.04Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.03P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.02O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 2.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPHI
2.53 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.12 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT46%54%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPHI
31
Shots on goal
38
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
9
39
Hits
24
16
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-340.28110—35:39
2A. ZubD101+140.12340—27:05
5N. HoldenD000+200.11220—20:19
19D. BathersonR000-340.35102—19:43
24J. Bernard-DockerD000-130.20002—19:06
9J. NorrisC000-120.192006518:48
7B. TkachukL000-120.126303318:23
18T. StützleC101-130.151201316:13
28C. BrownR011+100.261005016:03
21N. PaulL000-130.300103315:35
10A. FormentonL112+120.24100—14:40
16A. WatsonL000+110.00502—13:36
63T. EnnisR000010.07300—12:13
71C. TierneyC000-100.002003611:59
98V. MeteD000-100.00010—11:58
27D. GambrellC011+100.001206010:57
13Z. SanfordL011+110.09500—10:40
29D. HeatheringtonD000+110.00505—05:48
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(O)38344.8952.72-1.2861:35

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).