Skip to content
Flyers at Senators
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
1
Ottawa Senators
▸3
FinalTV NBCSP+, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Norris's goal at 9:16 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were PHI 29, OTT 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Anton Forsberg stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Norris (1 G), 2. Anton Forsberg (28 saves, .966), 3. Connor Brown (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    J. Norris1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    A. Forsberg28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Brown2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0919011129
OTTOTT111012213336

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    T. Stützle(14)
    A. Formenton (13), C. Brown (26)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    10:45

2nd period

  1. PHI
    C. Atkinson(23)
    J. Braun (11), J. van Riemsdyk (11)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:10

3rd period

  1. OTT
    J. Norris(25)PPG
    E. Brannstrom (6), C. Brown (27)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +30 pts
    1-2
    9:16
  2. OTT
    A. Formenton(14)EN
    N. Zaitsev (5)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    17:22

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:03OTTErik Brannstrom · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:58OTTBrady Tkachuk · High stickingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min
  • 18:55PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Interferencedrawn by Connor Brown2 min

3rd

  • 7:01OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 7:01PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 8:30OTTAlex Formenton · Slashingdrawn by Justin Braun2 min
  • 8:30PHIJustin Braun · Slashingdrawn by Alex Formenton2 min
  • 8:44PHIMorgan Frost · Hookingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 13:58PHIPatrick Brown · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 16:33OTTAustin Watson · Trippingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPHI goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Norris, 3rd 9:16 — OTT 53% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Formenton · Goal · xG 0.40A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.22C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.17A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.16B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.15J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.09A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.08E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.08A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Formenton · Missed · xG 0.07C. White · On goal · xG 0.07C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06A. Formenton · Missed · xG 0.06J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.06N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.04N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Gambrell · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02C. White · On goal · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.02C. White · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.01A. Formenton · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 2.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsOTT
3.01 G
All situations
2 G2.6
1.31 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
1.80 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI59%41%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsOTT
29
Shots on goal
36
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
1/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
18
27
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
6
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000040.37130—25:44
70R. RistolainenD000000.02374—22:48
13K. HayesR000-130.130007122:12
6T. SanheimD000000.00040—20:37
11T. KonecnyR000-220.26000—19:09
61J. BraunD011020.01172—18:51
86J. FarabeeL000010.31000—17:45
89C. AtkinsonR101081.26000—16:36
19D. BrassardC000000.002104816:20
45C. YorkD000010.02110—15:40
25J. van RiemsdykL011030.37010—14:39
48M. FrostC000-100.050023013:34
38P. BrownC000010.054125813:09
71M. WillmanC000010.03200012:22
3K. YandleD000-110.02000—12:22
17Z. MacEwenR000010.11010—11:57
23O. LindblomL000-110.02210—11:56
20G. MayhewC000000.01100011:05
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35M. Jones(L)35332.9432.24+0.2456:42

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).