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Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV BSAZX 2, BSWIX·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Minnesota Wild 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Foligno's goal at 5:15 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 25% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were ARI 26, MIN 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 35 of 38 (.921); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Stralman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Shayne Gostisbehere (3 A), 3. Marcus Foligno (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    A. Stralman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    S. Gostisbehere3 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0811048526
MINMIN18011219338

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:05

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    18:15

3rd period

  1. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +24 pts
    2-1
    0:20
  2. ARI
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    2:56
  3. MIN
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    4:51
  4. MIN
    wristxG 0.14win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    5:15
  5. ARI
    T. Boyd(15)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +27 pts
    4-3
    10:22
  6. ARI
    wristxG 0.92win prob +7 pts
    5-3
    18:41

Penalties

ARI 12 PIM·MIN 18 PIM

1st

  • 4:14ARINick Schmaltz · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 15:16ARIAnton Stralman · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 19:27ARIJ.J. Moser · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

2nd

  • 5:46MINserved by N. Bjugstad · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:23MINKevin Fiala · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:53ARIShayne Gostisbehere · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

3rd

  • 6:18ARINick Schmaltz · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 9:35MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 10:22MINserved by N. Bjugstad · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 13:09ARIBarrett Hayton · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 20:00MINKevin Fiala · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalARI goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Marcus Foligno, 3rd 5:15 — MIN 25% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.18K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.18N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.14M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.14R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.12M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.06F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.00J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsMIN
3.14 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.83 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.41 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI42%58%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsMIN
26
Shots on goal
38
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/4
Power play
0/6
12
Penalty minutes
18
14
Hits
7
20
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86A. StralmanD112+320.11442—27:52
14S. GostisbehereD033+130.10032—27:11
29B. HaytonC022+220.152026924:10
8N. SchmaltzC022+250.360248022:53
62J. MoserD000-100.00132—21:34
72T. BoydC101+110.160106719:51
81P. KesselR112+241.4200010018:10
77V. SoderstromD000010.01020—17:31
75K. CapobiancoD000-100.04110—16:40
21L. ErikssonL000010.22000—15:02
22J. McBainC101+110.143002814:14
26A. RousselL101+110.14110—13:58
13N. SmithC000020.111207513:12
53M. CarconeL000020.10000—10:30
17A. GalchenyukC000-200.000003809:05
73J. JenikC000-210.03000007:58
54C. DineenD000000.01010—04:31
15B. ImamaL000-200.00100—03:38
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)38353.9212.60-0.4060:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).