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Coyotes at Wild
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Minnesota Wild
▸5
FinalTV BSAZ, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 5-2. The Coyotes scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 7:20 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were ARI 31, MIN 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 2.5 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Greenway (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jonas Brodin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kaapo Kahkonen (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Greenway1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Brodin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    K. Kahkonen29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI11301018231
MINMIN111313113537

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(6)
    P. Kessel (9), S. Gostisbehere (13)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:58
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(9)
    D. Kulikov (9), J. Greenway (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    7:06

2nd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(7)
    R. Hartman (5), A. Goligoski (12)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    7:20
  2. MIN
    J. Greenway(1)
    J. Merrill (6), V. Rask (4)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    14:19
  3. MIN
    J. Brodin(3)
    K. Kaprizov (18), R. Hartman (6)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    19:56

3rd period

  1. ARI
    A. Stralman(2)
    J. Chychrun (5), C. Keller (9)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    5:58
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(9)
    J. Brodin (8), J. Greenway (5)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    2-5
    7:42

Penalties

ARI 15 PIM·MIN 11 PIM

1st

  • 8:27MINAlex Goligoski · Cross checkingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 12:24ARIRyan Dzingel · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

2nd

  • 8:52ARIKyle Capobianco · Hookingdrawn by Calen Addison2 min
  • 16:31MINJonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 18:44MINBrandon Duhaime · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
  • 18:44ARILiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime5 min

3rd

  • 17:51ARIJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 19:23ARIJohan Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 19:23ARIJohan Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 19:23MINKevin Fiala · Roughingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalARI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 2nd 7:20 — MIN 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.30M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.27N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.20J. Greenway · Goal · xG 0.14K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.12R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.08M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06C. Addison · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.05K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.04V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodin · Goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.00B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 2.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsMIN
2.82 G
All situations
5 G2.5
2.62 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI55%45%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsMIN
31
Shots on goal
37
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
11
18
Hits
27
10
Blocked shots
8
2
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD011-130.12122—22:38
14S. GostisbehereD011030.15010—22:30
61D. MayoD000-210.01020—20:10
86A. StralmanD101020.13010—19:20
9C. KellerR112070.930005018:27
75K. CapobiancoD000-120.03112—18:04
81P. KesselR011020.12010—16:59
72T. BoydC000-120.342006416:39
67L. CrouseL000-210.06120—16:24
46I. LyubushkinD000-200.00000—16:01
29B. HaytonC000-200.000004315:45
10R. DzingelC000-100.001026015:30
21L. ErikssonL000010.32000—13:52
22J. LarssonL000+110.011045013:52
26A. RousselL000-120.26100—13:34
36C. FischerR000-230.1540010013:02
24H. FaschingR000-100.01100—10:50
38L. O'BrienC000010.1250510009:54
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31S. Wedgewood(L)37325.8652.45-2.5560:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).