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Wild at Coyotes
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸5
Utah Mammoth
2
FinalTV TNT·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Fiala's goal at 2:45 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.3, ARI 2.1; shots on goal were MIN 30, ARI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Karel Vejmelka stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jared Spurgeon (2 A), 3. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Fiala1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon2 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    S. Gostisbehere1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN21131108530
ARIARI1805113226

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(5)PPG
    J. Spurgeon (4), M. Zuccarello (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    4:22
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(5)
    J. Merrill (3), K. Fiala (5)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    9:00
  3. ARI
    A. Ladd(2)
    D. Jaskin (1), S. Gostisbehere (9)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    14:10

2nd period

  1. MIN
    K. Fiala(2)
    J. Spurgeon (5), A. Goligoski (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    2:45
  2. MIN
    D. Kulikov(1)
    R. Pitlick (2), J. Merrill (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    3:21
  3. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(3)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (6), K. Fiala (6)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    5-1
    18:51

3rd period

  1. ARI
    S. Gostisbehere(2)
    C. Keller (3), T. Boyd (1)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    7:04

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:00ARIShayne Gostisbehere · Trippingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min

2nd

  • 10:40MINJordan Greenway · Cross checkingdrawn by Loui Eriksson2 min
  • 14:02MINJon Merrill · Trippingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 17:03ARIClayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 18:38ARIIlya Lyubushkin · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min

3rd

  • 2:58MINNico Sturm · Trippingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalMIN goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Fiala, 2nd 2:45 — MIN 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.27S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.21T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.17L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.16L. Eriksson · Missed · xG 0.15B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.12L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ladd · Goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eriksson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.06T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.06I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.04A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02D. Jaskin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mayo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI2 G · 2.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsARI
2.35 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.13 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.32 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN54%46%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsARI
30
Shots on goal
26
38%
Faceoffs
62%
2/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
31
8
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000-110.06210—22:49
25J. BrodinD000-210.01010—21:04
97K. KaprizovL101-110.2610010019:29
36M. ZuccarelloR022-110.04000—18:57
47A. GoligoskiD011+120.04110—18:54
46J. SpurgeonD022+120.03100—18:32
29D. KulikovD101+110.12100—18:19
89F. GaudreauC000-100.070103618:14
4J. MerrillD022+200.00132—18:01
14J. Eriksson EkC101+250.340002017:15
38R. HartmanR000040.322004416:01
17M. FolignoL101+220.27200—15:09
22K. FialaL123+240.30000—14:03
7N. SturmC000020.051025013:07
21B. DuhaimeL000000.00200—12:47
18J. GreenwayL000010.110126711:24
16R. PitlickC011010.14000010:02
27N. BjugstadC000020.170005709:55
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(W)26242.9232.13+0.1359:58

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).