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Kraken at Jets
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
3
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
FinalTV ROOT-NW+, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Seattle Kraken 4-3. The Jets came back from two goals down. The Kraken led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 9:05 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 82%. Expected goals were close — SEA 2.8, WPG 2.8; shots on goal were SEA 30, WPG 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Chris Driedger stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.2 goals below expected; Eric Comrie stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Blake Wheeler (1 G), 2. Morgan Barron (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jansen Harkins (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Barron1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Harkins2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA01031406330
WPGWPG1805314427

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    M. Barron(2)
    J. Harkins (5)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:47

2nd period

  1. SEA
    A. Wennberg(11)PPG
    J. McCann (23), M. Beniers (6)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    5:55
  2. SEA
    D. Sprong(14)
    D. Pouliot (4), D. Cholowski (3)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:24
  3. SEA
    R. Sheahan(4)
    A. Wennberg (26), J. Donskoi (20)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    13:19

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(17)
    P. Stastny (24)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    4:49
  2. WPG
    D. Toninato(7)
    J. Harkins (6), M. Barron (3)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    7:16
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(47)
    P. Dubois (32), M. Appleton (13)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +30 pts
    3-4
    9:05

Penalties

SEA 2 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

2nd

  • 5:33WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min

3rd

  • 9:36SEAKole Lind · Trippingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSEA goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 3rd 9:05 — WPG 52% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barron · Goal · xG 0.24K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.16B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.14P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.13M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.11J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.11P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.11E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.10B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.09D. Toninato · Goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.07M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.06E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.05P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.05E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 2.8 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsWPG
2.83 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA49%51%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsWPG
30
Shots on goal
27
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
9
Hits
14
9
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. CholowskiD011+100.01010—23:15
51D. PouliotD011+110.03100—21:16
6A. LarssonD000-200.00000—19:28
24J. OleksiakD000-230.20010—18:41
3W. BorgenD000-110.05200—18:38
28C. SoucyD000-110.06330—18:15
67M. GeekieC000010.190003317:51
91D. SprongR101050.50000—16:38
15R. SheahanC101-120.24000016:27
73K. LindR000010.07102—16:03
21A. WennbergC112-120.180007515:43
72J. DonskoiR011-140.38000—15:07
10M. BeniersC011-120.101003314:31
9R. DonatoC000-110.20000014:25
37Y. GourdeC000020.040103813:32
49V. RaskC000-120.14010013:25
25K. KuhlmanC000010.06100013:15
16J. McCannL011010.31020—12:28
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Driedger(L)27234.8522.80-1.2059:02

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).