Jets at Kraken 3-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Winnipeg Jets

▸3

Seattle Kraken

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Seattle Kraken 3-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 0:47 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 72% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were WPG 33, SEA 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Kyle Connor (2 G), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (25 saves, 1.000), 3. Mark Scheifele (1 A).

Three stars

★
K. Connor2 G
★★
C. Hellebuyck25 saves, 1.000
★★★
M. Scheifele1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WPG	19	012	212	333
SEA	07	011	07	025

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

D. Toninato(3)
P. Stastny (7)
wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
1-0
5:24

3rd period

K. Connor(16)
M. Scheifele (10), L. Stanley (8)
wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
2-0
0:47
K. Connor(17)
B. Wheeler (14)
wristxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
3-0
14:54

Penalties

10 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

8:44Adam Lowry · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min

2nd

1:22Blake Wheeler · Slashingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
8:30Adam Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
8:46Pierre-Luc Dubois · Interferencedrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min

3rd

5:33Jamie Oleksiak · Hookingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
7:59Nikolaj Ehlers · Holding the stickdrawn by Will Borgen2 min
11:36Brenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: SEA

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 3rd 0:47 — WPG 72% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.6 xG · 51 att SEA

0 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.63 G
All situations: 0 G2.3; 2.33 G
Even strength: 0 G1.8; 0.20 G
Power play: 0 G0.5; 0.10 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

55%45%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

33
Shots on goal: 25; 47%
Faceoffs: 53%; 0/2
Power play: 0/5; 10
Penalty minutes: 4; 10
Hits: 13; 17
Blocked shots: 14; 12
Giveaways: 14; 4
Takeaways: 9

Box score

every player line

Winnipeg Jets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
44J. MorrisseyD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	2	0	0	—	22:37
88N. SchmidtD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	22:05
64L. StanleyD	0	1	1	+2	1	0.12	1	2	0	—	21:11
81K. ConnorL	2	0	2	+2	6	0.51	0	0	0	—	20:52
26B. WheelerR	0	1	1	+1	5	0.48	1	1	2	—	20:25
5B. DillonD	0	0	0	+2	2	0.11	2	2	2	—	19:41
9A. CoppC	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	3	0	30	19:30
55M. ScheifeleC	0	1	1	+2	1	0.04	1	2	0	53	19:23
2D. DeMeloD	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	1	0	—	16:27
28N. BeaulieuD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	2	0	—	15:54
27N. EhlersL	0	0	0	+1	7	0.52	0	0	2	—	15:28
80P. DuboisC	0	0	0	0	1	0.34	0	0	2	58	14:54
17A. LowryC	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	2	57	13:47
25P. StastnyC	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	0	13:31
21D. ToninatoC	1	0	1	+1	1	0.08	1	0	0	40	10:29
93K. VesalainenL	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	0	0	—	09:57
12J. HarkinsC	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	0	2	0	0	07:20
71E. SvechnikovL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	06:29

Winnipeg Jets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)	25	25	0	1.000	2.32	+2.32	60:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Dec 93@0this game
Feb 173@5Final
May 13@4Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score