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Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NHLN, ROOT-NW·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Seattle Kraken 5-3. The Jets came back from two goals down. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Morrissey's goal at 13:50 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were SEA 23, WPG 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected; Eric Comrie stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Wheeler (1 G, 1 A), 2. Marcus Johansson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SEA
    M. Johansson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    P. Dubois1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA2100914323
WPGWPG17210212529

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    V. Dunn(7)PPG
    J. McCann (12), Y. Gourde (18)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    3:21
  2. SEA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    12:15
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    19:47

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    1:45
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.23win prob +19 pts
    2-3
    11:54

3rd period

  1. SEA
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    7:02
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.19win prob +36 pts
    3-4
    13:50
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(28)EN
    backhandxG 0.91win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:59

Penalties

SEA 8 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:34WPGLogan Stanley · Boardingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 4:59SEAJordan Eberle · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 19:25WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · High stickingdrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min

2nd

  • 15:24SEAYanni Gourde · Boardingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 15:24WPGMark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 15:24SEAYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

3rd

  • 9:34SEARyan Donato · Hookingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSEA goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Morrissey, 3rd 13:50 — WPG 52% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.91B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.23B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.19J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.19D. Toninato · Goal · xG 0.17P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.16J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.16P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.11C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.11D. Toninato · Missed · xG 0.10B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.10P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.08P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.08L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.06N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.6 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsWPG
2.23 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA42%58%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsWPG
23
Shots on goal
29
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
29
10
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29V. DunnD101-110.22120—22:40
6A. LarssonD000010.00000—21:20
5M. GiordanoD011-220.12020—20:11
55J. LauzonD000010.04130—19:42
21A. WennbergC011-100.000006018:28
9R. DonatoC000-330.21202017:49
7J. EberleR112040.25102—17:08
37Y. GourdeC011-100.001045916:37
16J. McCannL011-230.500002016:11
24J. OleksiakD000-100.00400—16:08
72J. DonskoiR000-120.23000—15:46
90M. JohanssonL112010.1601010015:23
22M. AppletonC000-200.00210015:00
28C. SoucyD000000.11010—14:12
19C. JarnkrokC000-110.09000013:09
15R. SheahanC000010.080003312:23
43C. BlackwellC000000.00100012:02
67M. GeekieC000-130.210003811:20
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)28244.8572.68-1.3258:31

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).