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Senators at Red Wings
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸4
Detroit Red Wings
1
FinalTV BSDET, TSN5·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drake Batherson's goal at 15:32 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were OTT 32, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Josh Norris (1 A), 2. Moritz Seider (1 A), 3. Anton Forsberg (24 saves, .960).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    J. Norris1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Seider1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    A. Forsberg24 saves, .960

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT11417211432
DETDET0111707125

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    A. Watson(8)
    J. Norris (17), M. Joseph (18)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    19:55

2nd period

  1. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(27)PPG
    M. Seider (41), L. Raymond (33)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    12:27
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(15)
    M. Del Zotto (9), T. Stützle (30)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    15:32

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Stützle(16)EN
    N. Holden (13)
    backhandxG 0.94win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    18:55
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(17)EN
    A. Watson (4)
    wristxG 0.52
    4-1
    19:46

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:51DETFilip Hronek · Holdingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 15:50OTTTim Stützle · High stickingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

2nd

  • 4:10OTTNick Holden · Slashingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 11:16OTTNikita Zaitsev · Holdingdrawn by Mitchell Stephens2 min

3rd

  • 13:40OTTErik Brannstrom · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 13:43DETSam Gagner · Interferencedrawn by Alex Formenton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalOTT goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Drake Batherson, 2nd 15:32 — OTT 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.22L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.15J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.13P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.12J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.10D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.10M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.10J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.09S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.09J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.09A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.08M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.08L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.08F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.08M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.05O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.05M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.02A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.01F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.00L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.00D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.00M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 2.1 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsDET
3.82 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.92 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT55%45%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsDET
32
Shots on goal
25
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
33
Hits
49
15
Blocked shots
8
7
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23T. HamonicD000+120.12340—25:13
5N. HoldenD011+310.03202—21:17
26E. BrannstromD000+210.23102—21:07
15M. Del ZottoD011+120.03010—19:53
18T. StützleC213+321.502225018:57
7B. TkachukL000020.064006717:45
22N. ZaitsevD000+100.00432—17:41
28C. BrownR000020.18200—17:33
9J. NorrisC011+120.302007617:19
19D. BathersonR101+120.10000—15:25
10A. FormentonL000+120.22200—14:22
21M. JosephR011+110.11100—13:42
16A. WatsonL112+330.22220—13:34
98V. MeteD000030.18000—12:55
36C. WhiteC000020.154003812:23
27D. GambrellC000+230.132104112:09
45P. KellyC000000.00110011:49
17A. GaudetteR000020.22110—09:45
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(W)25241.9602.06+1.0660:00

Season series

OTT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).