Skip to content
Panthers at Sabres
NHL

Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸6
Buffalo Sabres
1
FinalTV MSG-B, BSFL·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noel Acciari's goal at 5:54 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were FLA 31, BUF 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Brandon Montour (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mason Marchment (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    B. Montour1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    M. Marchment3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1342018631
BUFBUF01107112130

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    B. Montour(6)
    A. Barkov (28), M. Marchment (19)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:22

2nd period

  1. FLA
    N. Acciari(1)
    B. Montour (18), M. Marchment (20)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:54
  2. FLA
    A. Duclair(22)PPG
    A. Barkov (29), S. Reinhart (35)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    7:39
  3. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(17)
    M. Marchment (21), E. Luostarinen (9)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    4-0
    11:39
  4. FLA
    P. Hornqvist(9)
    S. Bennett (12), M. Weegar (29)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    5-0
    12:42

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(26)PPG
    J. Huberdeau (59), A. Duclair (21)
    wristxG 0.15
    6-0
    6:50
  2. BUF
    J. Hayden(2)
    R. Asplund (15), C. Fitzgerald (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09
    6-1
    13:42

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·BUF 18 PIM

1st

  • 10:31FLAAnton Lundell · Hookingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 13:56FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Slashingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min

2nd

  • 7:20BUFMattias Samuelsson · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 9:02FLABrandon Montour · Hookingdrawn by Vinnie Hinostroza2 min
  • 15:03BUFJohn Hayden · Roughingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 19:31FLASam Reinhart · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

3rd

  • 5:26BUFJohn Hayden · Interferencedrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 7:44FLAMason Marchment · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 17:36FLARadko Gudas · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by John Hayden2 min
  • 17:36BUFJohn Hayden · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 17:36BUFJohn Hayden · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalFLA goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Noel Acciari, 2nd 5:54 — FLA 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.20R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.19T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.19A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.14V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.11J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.10V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.10A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.09J. Hayden · Goal · xG 0.09K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.09K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.08J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.08T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.07R. Asplund · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bryson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fitzgerald · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hagg · Missed · xG 0.01
BUF1 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBUF
3.06 G
All situations
1 G2.7
2.04 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
1.02 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA56%44%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBUF
31
Shots on goal
30
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/3
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
18
6
Hits
12
12
Blocked shots
7
6
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000+110.04010—22:31
42G. ForslingD000+210.02020—20:33
52M. WeegarD011+110.08020—20:26
62B. MontourD112+230.32012—19:04
16A. BarkovC123+110.150004318:22
13S. ReinhartC011040.54002018:09
7R. GudasD000000.00322—18:07
9S. BennettC011+150.180006017:08
27E. LuostarinenC011+210.191105816:56
32L. CarlssonD000000.00010—15:55
55N. AcciariC101010.081104015:43
11J. HuberdeauL011+110.14002—14:55
23C. VerhaegheC101+110.10010013:51
77F. VatranoR000030.28000—13:40
10A. DuclairL112020.46000—13:19
17M. MarchmentL033+300.00002—13:16
70P. HornqvistR101050.42100—12:58
15A. LundellC000010.040026003:07
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(W)30291.9672.66+1.6660:00

Season series

FLA leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).